Heavy Rain and Gusty Winds
Discussion: A negatively tilted trough is expected to enhance a surface low and bring a decent amount of rainfall to NJ this week. The primary low is currently over the Great Lakes and has sent a warm front through from
Discussion: A negatively tilted trough is expected to enhance a surface low and bring a decent amount of rainfall to NJ this week. The primary low is currently over the Great Lakes and has sent a warm front through from
Discussion: The weekend is here but first, let’s recap. It’s still technically calendar Fall for 15 days (until Dec 21). We’re only 6 days into meteorological winter. Ocean sea surface temperatures off NJ are in the mid-40s. Unless a freak
Discussion: A clipper system is called a clipper, mainly an Alberta Clipper because the low originates in the Alberta province of Canada and tracks into/towards the Mid-Atlantic US on the norther colder stream. Typically, a clipper is moisture-starved because there
Discussion: The upper jet (analyzed at 250mb) remains to the S of NJ as we freeze inside of a trough. The polar and pacific jets will be coupling by Wednesday which will help drive the expected clipper system Wednesday night
Discussion: Another round of beneficial rainfall is approaching New Jersey for Thanksgiving Day. Areas N of I-80/NW of I-287, mainly Sussex and N Warren Counties are subject to more snowfall but nowhere near the accumulations that fell and stuck last
Discussion: The upper-jet is expected to dip to the S of NJ once the Tuesday system is through. There it will stay until well into December. Height, analyzed at 500mb, suggests a period of troughing beginning this weekend that should
Discussion: Last night into this morning was a solid kick-off for snow season. I know that only NWNJ elevations (especially Sparta through Vernon) saw snow accumulations with the majority of NJ (lower 2/3) just seeing rain with a few flurries/snow
Discussion: The initial rainfall portion of this system fell between last night and this morning. The occluded front was enough to spark some lightning along a linear stormfront before the precipitation flattened out to a broader slug of rain. It
Discussion: First, let’s level some expectations. The snow potential for tomorrow (Thursday) into Friday is not a big deal. Given the time of year and surface temperature profile, it will be hard for significant accumulations to stack up outside of
Discussion: I’m not deducing much looking at upper-jet (250mb) winds. Slight deviations in either direction but no buckling. 500mb geopotential height anomalies paint a much better picture. I can see the existing ridge eroding by Wednesday to make way for