Discussion: The only disturbance I see in the upper levels is for the Sunday night into Monday period when a strong upper-jet streak will be over NJ in correlation with a small dissolving positive-axis trough. There should be a correlating
Discussion: For the first half of this week a trough will approach NJ from the W/NW and eventually bring a frontal system through on Wednesday. We’re warm (but not scorching) until then with elevated humidity. Both temps and humidity should
Discussion: The high-pressure area NE of Bermuda, that is currently steering Major Hurricane Lee to the W/NW underneath it, will provide S winds for NJ this weekend. This will be around the W side of anti-cyclonic flow. High temperatures will
Discussion: Before we get into Hurricane Lee, I want to address the rest of today and the next few days leading into the weekend. There are currently (as of Thursday Sept 7 – 4:15pm) storms firing in EPA and MD
Discussion: We should have SW flow in the mid-upper levels this week. This should sustain the warmer airmass through at least Thursday, possibly Friday despite the W/NW or even NW flow at the lower-levels. The source of the lower-level flow
Discussion: Idalia tracked across the SE US after delivering a major hurricane landfall early Wednesday morning in the W FL big bend area. Idalia is now pushing out to sea off the S OBX area. High pressure is approaching which
Discussion: I had a feeling the tropics were going to heat up when we were on vacation. But we’re back and normal updates will now resume. Our 4-year-old daughter had the time of her life in Disney World. Our first
Discussion: An upper low will move out of the region this weekend leaving NW flow aloft in its wake. This should allow for less humid conditions to persist despite hotter daytime temperatures. Recently, it has been very humid with a
Discussion: The most important weather scenario to discuss is this evening. Last night’s storms petered out for many to just a rainy breeze, but we are lucky. The dynamics were there for severe/tornado potential. If I had to make that
Discussion: For the most part this week, we’re going to have an upper low gradually weakening and ultimately fading away. But before that occurs, New Jersey should see a few periods of disruption, with the first being tonight. A surface
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