Transitional Conditions Expected
Discussion: I had a feeling the tropics were going to heat up when we were on vacation. But we’re back and normal updates will now resume. Our 4-year-old daughter had the time of her life in Disney World. Our first
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Humidity Retreats
Discussion: An upper low will move out of the region this weekend leaving NW flow aloft in its wake. This should allow for less humid conditions to persist despite hotter daytime temperatures. Recently, it has been very humid with a
More Thunderstorm Potential Tonight
Discussion: The most important weather scenario to discuss is this evening. Last night’s storms petered out for many to just a rainy breeze, but we are lucky. The dynamics were there for severe/tornado potential. If I had to make that
Thunderstorms Approaching for Tonight
Discussion: For the most part this week, we’re going to have an upper low gradually weakening and ultimately fading away. But before that occurs, New Jersey should see a few periods of disruption, with the first being tonight. A surface
Thunderstorms Approaching!
Discussion: Some AM rain pushed through this morning. We’ve been swampy since with sun and clouds…all as expected so far. Now the second stormfront is approaching NJ from the W. Thunderstorm dynamics are far superior to the W and SW
Mixed Summer Conditions
Discussion: The upper jet should sit right over NJ this week with lower heights dominating the pattern. This will keep an unsettled atmosphere over NJ, especially at the start of the week and later towards the weekend. Tuesday through Thursday
Conditions Improve after Friday
Discussion: The upper levels will transition to a zonal pattern as the trough exists our region to the E. It should stay this way until mid-next week. A mostly dry frontal passage will pass through NJ by early Saturday morning
A Cooler and Drier Break
Discussion: The upper jet is currently S of NJ which correlates to the west side of the trough that NJ is in. This means NW flow and drier (less humid) air for most of NJ. However, a trough has lower
Storms to Break the Heat
Discussion: The upper jet will stay to the N of NJ through Saturday. On Sunday it will dip below NJ and usher in a trough. 500mb analysis correlates with this…ridging today (Friday) and tomorrow (Saturday) with the trough following for
Heat Wave Expected this Week
Discussion: The upper levels are setting the stage for a heat wave. Once the current weak trough moves away, the upper jet is going to push N of NJ for a period (Tues-Sat) which will correlate with higher geopotential heights
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