We’re now in the heart of peak snow season in the mid-Atlantic US. Hours of sunlight are increasing daily by minutes but coastal ocean sea surface temperatures are bottoming out for the year in the upper 30s. This is a big
Models are unanimously in agreement about a very cold period in the ~February 13-18 time-frame. A piece of the Polar Vortex will break off and drop over the E. US. The trough could reach as far south as Florida. This is
As today’s disturbance moves away by early Tuesday morning, it will pull down cold air behind it from the north. A clipper is modeled to move across the Great Lakes and transfer southward to a coastal low formation this Thursday-Friday.
The main headline for this storm will be ice in CNJ and NNJ. Snow has become a much lesser concern regardless of the significant accumulations still possible in NNJ. SNJ will have the least amount of wintry impact with mostly
The northerly trend in model guidance appears to have halted now that better data sampling has been fed into their algorithms. Precipitation should begin falling Sunday evening and taper off Tuesday morning. We’re dealing with another snow/rain line moving northward
Model guidance has trended northward overnight and today. A low pressure track from Pittsburgh through SNJ was modeled by the GFS and Canadian. The Euro was south of both runs with low pressure moving from just south of Pittsburgh through
Model guidance is in agreement that an Arctic frontal boundary will push southward and stall somewhere over the SNJ area this Sunday-Tuesday. A weak area of low pressure will crawl along this boundary due to strong high pressure to the
Im going to say this right off the bat. IT IS NOT GOING TO SNOW FOR 120 HOURS STRAIGHT! Lets be clear on this. Yes it will snow beginning early Sunday morning and it appears that we may be in
While many eyes are on the Sunday-Tuesday period, including rumor-central, lets get through Thursday first. Model guidance continues to suggest a late phase between northern and southern energy streams. This should happen in time for parts of coastal New England
High pressure will have control of the region today and tomorrow with cool and dry sinking air expected. Two converging energies (northern and southern streams) could then bring light snow for Thursday before Arctic air reloads to start the weekend. Let’s
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