The week should start out hot with high pressure overhead. As we move forward through the week, intensifying SW flow should precede a slow moving cold front which could bring showers and storms to the region. Most days seem okay
The National Weather Service National Hurricane Center (NWS NHC) is currently investigating a tropical wave that originated near the Cape Verde region off western Africa: Here’s the tropical spaghetti plot, courtesy of WeatherBell Analytics: I’ll be closely monitoring the progress
High pressure should have control of the region for the entire weekend. That means lots of sinking anti-cyclonic air which will inhibit showers and thunderstorms from forming in light of elevated temperatures and humidity. The only clouds I see forming
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A low pressure disturbance will track through the Great Lakes/NY State region tomorrow before continuing through the rest of New England. This will help push a series of frontal boundaries through New Jersey today and tomorrow. Not much action is
The coastal system responsible for heavy surf this weekend is steaming out to sea while weak high pressure moves through and ultimately another cold front. Lets break down what exactly that means: Monday high temperatures should reach the lower-80s statewide. Skies
Once this pesky low pressure system slides out to sea we’ll be home free for the rest of the weekend. Let’s talk details: Friday high temperatures should reach the low to mid-80s. NNJ and most of CNJ should stay dry
Widespread synoptic rainfall is already organizing around a low pressure disturbance moving into W. Kentucky. It should reach New Jersey as early as later this evening but should clear out before Saturday. This leaves just a single potential washout day
I’ve been watching this possibility on model guidance for a few days now. It has actually been behaving like a winter storm in the sense of GFS vs Euro (SE progressive bias vs amplification bias). In this case, it looks
The thunderstorm threat today will primarily be for SNJ during afternoon-early evening hours. A frontal boundary will be moving through the region today and somewhat stall over the Baltimore<->Atlantic City axis from W to E. As energy moves along this
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