A strong ridge of re-enforced high pressure should continue building over the E. US. This will bring above-average temperatures to the entire mid-Atlantic region for the first third-to-half of September. I’ll be releasing the long-range September outlook (powered by WeatherTrends360)
Erika has remained extremely weak and has been downgraded to just a tropical depression. This is due to land interaction and the stronger shear environment of the northern Caribbean. Because of this, she has drifted westward considerably before making the
Total high pressure domination for a beautiful late-summer weekend. Let’s break it down… Friday high temperatures should reach the upper-70s and lower-80s statewide. Skies should be mostly sunny with a pleasant dry and crisp feel. Winds should be light out
Tropical Storm Erika remains weak in the NE Caribbean Sea. She will battle a strong upper-level wind shear environment over the next 24-36 hours as well as possibly the higher elevations of Hispaniola. This should keep her weak despite healthy
Erika has slightly intensified overnight and this morning. The big question is “How will this impact the US east coast?” Well, the Bahamas and Florida, as stated yesterday, should begin taking Erika seriously. We’re still a ways out and model guidance
Invest 98L has evolved into Tropical Storm Erica who presents a much more realistic threat to the east coast than Danny ever did. She has less (but some) shear to deal with but once into the Bahamas, she could intensify into
Danny has sheared apart into tropical remnants which verified the most-likely scenario. Remnants however will continue to impact the NE Caribbean with rainfall and only light-to-moderate tropical winds. The only thing worth watching is if such tropical remnants re-intensify “if”
General Discussion: A low pressure system of tropical interest (Invest 97L) is spinning off the east coast but presents no direct threat of landfall. Therefore, coastal regions should take notice of increased surf and rip currents through at least Wednesday
Danny has been weakening over the last 24-36 hours due to an unfavorable upper level environment of wind shear and dry air. He will continue to weaken in tropical cyclone intensity but should still bring widespread heavy rainfall to the
Hurricane Danny has intensified. He has been able to stay just south of inhibitive factors such as dry Saharan air/dust, and wind shear. He could possibly intensify further but eventually, he’s going to have to cross a strong wind shear
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