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Frigid Weekend Expected (Feb 11-14)

Frigid Weekend Expected (Feb 11-14)

🕔12:06, 10.Feb 2016

The weekend looks frigid and another winter storm signal is showing for early next week. Let’s break it all down. Today‘s high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 30s statewide. AM snow bands should move offshore but we’re subject to random localized snow

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Feb 9: Tuesday Night Observations

Feb 9: Tuesday Night Observations

🕔21:46, 9.Feb 2016

There it is. The inverted trough. Forecasting kryptonite. You can see see it animated here. The upper-low (clipper) is moving through the E Great Lakes. It’s bringing energy around it’s southern side which is keeping the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast US under large

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Feb 9: Arctic Outbreak Detected!

Feb 9: Arctic Outbreak Detected!

🕔14:27, 9.Feb 2016

The coldest air mass of the entire winter is coming to New Jersey this weekend. Arctic high pressure will drop out of Canada over the Great Lakes and literally hurl down some of the coldest air on the planet through

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Feb 9: Tuesday Morning Observations

Feb 9: Tuesday Morning Observations

🕔08:39, 9.Feb 2016

Low pressure has jumped to the Mid-Atlantic coast and is moving out to sea. You can make out the cyclonic flow east of OBX on the Earth map image. Low pressure will also remain behind over the Great Lakes. The

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Feb 8: Monday Night Observations

Feb 8: Monday Night Observations

🕔22:06, 8.Feb 2016

The clipper has reached the end of its road near the Great Lakes. Over the next 6 hours, I expect it to transfer to the Mid-Atlantic coast as indicated below. It will then strengthen as it moves NE and help

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Feb 8: Snow Storm Approaching!

Feb 8: Snow Storm Approaching!

🕔17:56, 8.Feb 2016

Here’s are my thoughts heading into this redonkulously difficult forecast: Discussion: Low pressure is about to transfer from the Great Lakes to the Mid-Atlantic coast near the VA/NC border. It will then move NE into the Atlantic Ocean and bring upon

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Feb 8: Monday Morning Observations

Feb 8: Monday Morning Observations

🕔08:29, 8.Feb 2016

The coastal low has intensified below 980mb and continues to deepen. It’s located directly east of the Delmarva Peninsula but pretty far out to sea. It appears that the NW extent of its precipitation shield is just starting to impact

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Feb 7: Sunday Night Observations

Feb 7: Sunday Night Observations

🕔21:13, 7.Feb 2016

The coastal low has deepened down to about 986mb. Coastal New Jersey should already be feeling the NE winds associated with the cyclonic flow to the north of the low. This should begin elevating tides above normal. Once the winds eventually switch

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Feb 7: What to Expect Monday-Wednesday

Feb 7: What to Expect Monday-Wednesday

🕔13:42, 7.Feb 2016

As I sit here trying to make a final snow accumulations map, I’m realizing that there’s too much variance in what could possibly happen. Therefore, any snow map issued would have a tremendous likelihood of busting. I would rather be honest

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Feb 6: Winter Storm Discussion

Feb 6: Winter Storm Discussion

🕔09:54, 6.Feb 2016

The February 8-10 period has been of great interest to me for a while now. Not because of any particular surface solution modeled, but because of the consistency in the modeled upper-level pattern. If you’re looking for how much snow the

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