Discussion: The last flakes have cleared the coast, and this storm is history. What an incredibly challenging storm to forecast. The entire E US felt like it had a million moving parts in the atmosphere. Nothing big, solid, or easy
Discussion: You can roll up yesterday’s first call snow map and throw it in the garbage. The trend northward in model guidance that occurred between Saturday and Sunday morning juked everyone out of their socks including us and even the
Discussion: After a lengthy analysis of this thread-the-needle system, we are ready to make an actual forecast. I’m going to start this article the same way I did the last two…with an expectation set. 1 – This storm is still
Discussion: I want to re-emphasize a few points from my article two days ago. 1 – This Tuesday storm is not within the favorable snowstorm pattern that is developing. That begins right after this storm, and I still expect at
Discussion: The chances for at least some, possibly a lot, of New Jersey seeing a snowstorm early next week are increasing. I know it’s hard to imagine the possibility given how mild today through Monday will be. But we do
Discussion: This article is a deeper dive into the next few weeks. Let’s first talk about the expected warmup to occur later this week. Today and tomorrow are still somewhat cooler (highs in the 40s lows in the 20s for
Discussion: There’s not much to discuss until we approach the more favorable cold/snow pattern later this month. Today (Thursday) was mild but tomorrow will feel different. A slug of pecip should push through NJ overnight tonight from W/NW to E/SE
Discussion: Before we talk about this “NSFW snow lover content” I want to set a few expectations and reality checks. First, big snow is not guaranteed every year in New Jersey. Heck, sometimes even small snow is not guaranteed every
Discussion: Our weak thread-the-needle system has departed, leaving NNJ only with a graze of mixed wintry precipitation and under temporary N/NW flow. This will produce a colder night tonight (Monday night) than what we’ve gotten used to for the past
Discussion: Just a few small adaptations on today’s impact map. Let’s just walk through it in phases. Our break in the rain will end tonight (Saturday) around midnight as more rain moves into the region from the W and spreads
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