Discussion: We have a snow/sleet/rain line/situation currently near the I-95 corridor. I expect this to advance to the SE between now and afternoon hours (possibly earlier) as the low-mid level temperatures crash. Precipitation should then bring this colder air down
Please click here for full-resolution snow map! Discussion: I want to start off saying that this forecast has high bust potential in either direction. Model guidance and live observations have been ridiculously tricky to get a hold of even now,
Please click here for full-resolution wave 1 snow map! Please click here for full-resolution wave 2 snow map! Discussion: The overall Tuesday-Wednesday event is now broken down into two individual waves. The first wave is mostly due to the Pacific shortwave
Please click here for full-resolution snow map! Discussion: The Pacific shortwave involved should track across the US from W to E along ~38N between now and Tuesday morning. Some northern stream energy should then try and inject into the trough Tuesday
Discussion: The models are still all over the place with regard to surface output. The upper-levels are starting to make a little more sense however. It looks like we’ll see a brief +PNA spike fed by an Alaskan upper-level low
Discussion: Given the active pattern we’re in, I’m gaining confidence in an east coast winter storm next ~Tuesday-Wednesday. My argument is not because of the modeled surface snow maps flying around. About the only guidance worth reasonably considering from this range are
Discussion: In my opinion the Upper-Level Low (ULL) moved into the Great Lakes region a hair quicker than expected yesterday-overnight. Also, it crossed the US border with a heading a hair closer to due S rather than S/SE. This rippled through to
Please click here for full-resolution snow map! Discussion: The primary coastal surface low has formed off South Carolina. It should track just off OBX today and then just to the SE of the 40N/70W benchmark by Tuesday morning. At 500mb, the
Please click here for full-resolution snow map! Discussion: Today is a relatively mild nice sunny day and with good reason. The sun angle is rapidly increasing and the clock adjustment even further brings it home. I want this idea to set
Discussion: I wish I had more to give you at this point but we’re still in a holding pattern due to the complexity of the upper-level physics. We are looking slightly snowier than yesterday though. This is no longer about the
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