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A Mixed Bag

A Mixed Bag

🕔16:57, 31.Mar 2025

Discussion: Most of NNJ today has reached the ~75F mark. Much of CNJ/SNJ (away from the ocean) has reached the 80F mark. Immediate ECNJ/SENJ coastal areas are hanging in the 55-65F range due to marine influence (the ocean is still

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Stormy Monday Night Expected

Stormy Monday Night Expected

🕔21:49, 30.Mar 2025

Discussion: Temperatures should moderate back into the 65-75 range tomorrow (Monday) as a warm sector influences NJ with warmer temperatures and higher levels of humidity. A stormfront is then expected to pass through New Jersey from NW to SE between

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Insanely Nice Conditions

Insanely Nice Conditions

🕔16:44, 28.Mar 2025

Discussion: The upper jet should stay to the N of NJ this weekend before crossing S over NJ briefly Tues-Wed and ultimately returning N of NJ by Thursday of next week. This will set the stages for an abnormally warm

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Rainy Start. Cooler Week. Milder Weekend.

Rainy Start. Cooler Week. Milder Weekend.

🕔15:25, 23.Mar 2025

Discussion: A shallow positive trough will meander over NJ for much of this week, producing colder temperatures with a slightly unsettled feel. The trough should then give way to a building ridge for the weekend, yielding milder conditions. In the

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Cooler and Breezy after Tonight’s Rain

Cooler and Breezy after Tonight’s Rain

🕔16:30, 20.Mar 2025

Discussion: We have a low tracking from the Great Lakes into SE Canada tonight (Thursday night). A cold front is attached to this low which should push a storm/cold front through NJ. Lightning is yet TBD but we’re at least

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Stormfront Approaching

Stormfront Approaching

🕔14:04, 16.Mar 2025

Discussion: A potent upper low has crawled across the US from W to E over the last few days…very dynamic with lots of vorticity and clashing air masses of varying temperature/moisture. At the lower levels, this has created quite the

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Turning Nice

Turning Nice

🕔10:34, 8.Mar 2025

Discussion: We’ll be in a split jet zonal pattern for this weekend into next, the N stream to the N of NJ and the S stream to the S of NJ…which is why there won’t be a phased snowstorm this

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Snowstorm to Likely Graze SENJ

Snowstorm to Likely Graze SENJ

🕔17:03, 18.Feb 2025

Discussion: This storm has certainly juked a lot of us forecasters around. In full and honest transparency, if I haven’t already made it clear, uncertainty is high with this. We’re dealing with specific phase timing required + a possible InVerted

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Snowstorm Chances Increasing for Wed-Thurs

Snowstorm Chances Increasing for Wed-Thurs

🕔15:49, 15.Feb 2025

Discussion: There’s a lot to talk about. I think it’s better to break it down by time period and hazard rather than by hazard type only. So, let’s start with right now and walk through next week. Today’s Snowy Burst:

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Weekend Snow/Ice/Rain Storm Approaching

Weekend Snow/Ice/Rain Storm Approaching

🕔18:08, 14.Feb 2025

Discussion: A weak low will ride the thermal boundary and drive into W PA from the TN area tomorrow (Saturday). Initial precipitation will crash into a wall of cold air at first and generate a front-end snowfall for most of

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