Aug 25: Monitoring Erika
Invest 98L has evolved into Tropical Storm Erica who presents a much more realistic threat to the east coast than Danny ever did. She has less (but some) shear to deal with but once into the Bahamas, she could intensify into
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Developing Stories in NJ
Aug 24: Tropics Update
Danny has sheared apart into tropical remnants which verified the most-likely scenario. Remnants however will continue to impact the NE Caribbean with rainfall and only light-to-moderate tropical winds. The only thing worth watching is if such tropical remnants re-intensify “if”
Mixed Weather Expected (Aug 24-28)
General Discussion: A low pressure system of tropical interest (Invest 97L) is spinning off the east coast but presents no direct threat of landfall. Therefore, coastal regions should take notice of increased surf and rip currents through at least Wednesday
Aug 23: Still Watching the Tropics
Danny has been weakening over the last 24-36 hours due to an unfavorable upper level environment of wind shear and dry air. He will continue to weaken in tropical cyclone intensity but should still bring widespread heavy rainfall to the
Aug 21: Hurricane Danny Update
Hurricane Danny has intensified. He has been able to stay just south of inhibitive factors such as dry Saharan air/dust, and wind shear. He could possibly intensify further but eventually, he’s going to have to cross a strong wind shear
Weekend Looks Okay (Aug 21-23)
So after the heavy rainfall tonight and tomorrow, the weekend should be okay for most. We have a lot of dynamics in play with a passing cold front, a weak area of low pressure in the Atlantic and a cold
Aug 20: Hurricane Danny has Formed!
Hurricane Danny, per latest data, has intensified down to a 992mb low pressure center. Sustained max winds are now up to 75mph. He is currently moving towards the NE region of the Caribbean as most model guidance suggested over the last 48-72
Aug 19: Tropical Storm Danny Update
Tropical Storm Danny is currently located at 11.3N 40.2W and heading in the general direction of the NE Caribbean region (~Northern Lesser Antilles). He should intensify into a hurricane by no later than tomorrow evening but possibly as early as overnight
Aug 17: Monitoring the Tropics
Invest 96L will continue to cross the Atlantic Ocean from where it originated SW of the Cape Verde region towards the Lesser Antilles. It’s current heading is W/NW at 10-15mph and is showing signs of organization per the NWS National
July 14: Thunderstorm Update
A decent amount of precipitation fell today (for most not all) with the warm front-driven showers and thunderstorms that occurred earlier. This positioned New Jersey in the warm sector of the general synoptic system currently governing the pattern. Diurnal instability
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