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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Unsettled Conditions Expected (July 23-27)

Unsettled Conditions Expected (July 23-27)

🕔17:10, 22.Jul 2018

Discussion: Saturday night’s synoptic rain storm pulled a warm front over New Jersey. This is why it currently feels like a tropical jungle. Dew point temperaturess are well into the 70s which aren’t a whole lot cooler than the actual

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July 22: The Wet Pattern Begins

July 22: The Wet Pattern Begins

🕔09:16, 22.Jul 2018

Discussion: Last night’s synoptic rain storm has passed through and is now absorbing into the upper-level low to our W. This upper-level low will fizzle into nothing as the SW US ridge teams up with the W Atlantic ridge to

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Rain Storm Approaching

Rain Storm Approaching

🕔10:21, 21.Jul 2018

Discussion: The upper-level low is fully closed off over the S Great Lakes as an overall upper-level negatively-tilted trough interacts with our coastal system. This interaction is slightly stronger in real-time observation than modeled leading into this event. I think

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Rain Storm Detected (July 20-22)

Rain Storm Detected (July 20-22)

🕔11:09, 20.Jul 2018

Discussion: An upper level low will track from the northern plains to the KY/TN area over the weekend. This upper level energy will interact with a coastal low pressure system, currently forming over coastal GA. The surface low should track

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July 16: Thunderstorms Expected Tomorrow

July 16: Thunderstorms Expected Tomorrow

🕔21:52, 16.Jul 2018

Discussion: Today we saw a few pop-up downpours and storms mostly triggered by the sea breeze front. Always fun to see a sea breeze front make it that far inland. We’re still in the warm sector however (not much humidity

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Unsettled Start. Beautiful Finish (July 16-20)

Unsettled Start. Beautiful Finish (July 16-20)

🕔11:37, 16.Jul 2018

Discussion: High pressure over the general Bermuda area is slowing departing to the E. The anticyclonic/southerly return flow from such is driving our current warm and humid conditions. Another area of high pressure should track from the Great Lakes towards

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Warm Conditions Expected (July 13-15)

Warm Conditions Expected (July 13-15)

🕔21:55, 12.Jul 2018

Discussion: Now that the remnants of tropical systems Chris and Beryl are moving further away to the NW, a ridge will fill into the E US. This will keep us on the warmer side this weekend, especially areas away from

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Thank you for your help!

Thank you for your help!

🕔20:11, 11.Jul 2018

Many have given their generous support to the mid-summer dinner music party/fundraiser we’re throwing this Saturday. We’ve done this a few years in a row now and it gets better and better each year. This article is a thank you to the

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Warmer Conditions Return (July 9-13)

Warmer Conditions Return (July 9-13)

🕔10:41, 8.Jul 2018

Discussion: There is no tropical threat for the New Jersey coast. The tropics do have to be acknowledged at this point however simply due to the pattern impact on our conditions. We were initially set to bake this week through

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Gorgeous Conditions Expected (July 6-8)

Gorgeous Conditions Expected (July 6-8)

🕔21:30, 5.Jul 2018

Discussion: A weak positive-tilted trough will swing through the Northeast/Mid-Atlantic US this weekend. This should cut the upper-level ridge in half and allow normal 500mb height anomalies for New Jersey in that period. At the surface this is reflected by

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