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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Sept 5: Watching Florence

Sept 5: Watching Florence

🕔21:28, 5.Sep 2018

Discussion: Major Hurricane Florence is currently located at 23N 47W. It’s packing sustained winds of 130mph and is tracking towards the general Bermuda region. Florence’s first hurdle, when we last discussed, were cooler sea surface temperatures W/SW of the Cape

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Hazy, Hot and Humid Conditions Continue (Sept 4-7)

Hazy, Hot and Humid Conditions Continue (Sept 4-7)

🕔17:55, 3.Sep 2018

Discussion: Ridging, ridging and more ridging. That’s the story for the Mid-Atlantic US for the rest of this week. That should keep it very tropical feeling with hazy, hot and humid conditions. Most daytime hours this week should be sunny

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September Discussion with WeatherTrends360

September Discussion with WeatherTrends360

🕔16:46, 3.Sep 2018

It’s time to harness the WeatherTrends360 proprietary weather algorithms to see how the rest of September 2018 should play out. But first lets break New Jersey into climatologically-similar regions. We have the higher elevations of NNJ/NWNJ, the interior coastal plain and Newark Basin (SWNJ

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Sept 2: Watching the Tropics

Sept 2: Watching the Tropics

🕔10:08, 2.Sep 2018

Discussion: We’re now in the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season and there are a few systems worth keeping an eye on. Naturally some click-bait sites are going to show you model runs of hurricanes slamming the east coast. And while there’s a small

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Unsettled Conditions Continue (Aug 31-Sept 3)

Unsettled Conditions Continue (Aug 31-Sept 3)

🕔18:55, 30.Aug 2018

Discussion: High pressure in the W Atlantic continues to pump the E US ridge. Until this ridge breaks down, we won’t see any kind of relief from the humidity. We have a cold front slowly sinking over NJ for Friday

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Hot and Humid Conditions Expected (Aug 27-31)

Hot and Humid Conditions Expected (Aug 27-31)

🕔22:53, 26.Aug 2018

Discussion: The Bermuda high/W Atlantic ridge will flex yet again with a warm, humid and unsettled pattern returning as we speak. These last few days have featured lower humidity but you can already feel the tropical air mass returning tonight

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Beautiful Weekend Expected (Aug 24-26)

Beautiful Weekend Expected (Aug 24-26)

🕔21:26, 23.Aug 2018

Discussion: A trough of cool dry Canadian air will dominate the pattern for most of the weekend. High pressure on the back side of the trough will do its typical thing. That is to give NJ a period of N

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Finally Some Relief! (Aug 20-24)

Finally Some Relief! (Aug 20-24)

🕔20:23, 19.Aug 2018

Discussion: Today’s weather was due to a weak surface low that got hung up off our coast. Upper-level flow is otherwise SW. The low snuck a lower-level NE wind into much of NJ (more noticeable for SNJ/SENJ) and created just

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Unsettled Conditions Continue (Aug 17-19)

Unsettled Conditions Continue (Aug 17-19)

🕔12:11, 17.Aug 2018

Discussion: Not much going on at the upper-levels aside from zonal W flow under the Canadian jet. 500mb height anomalies appear close to average through the weekend. The surface has been and continues to be a mess. The Bermuda high

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Conditions to Improve but Humidity Remains (Aug 14-17)

Conditions to Improve but Humidity Remains (Aug 14-17)

🕔13:11, 13.Aug 2018

Discussion: Today’s AM rainfall was a doozy. An upper level low is moving through the E US which enhanced a surface area of low pressure just off the coast of NJ. This created areas of rotation associated with the overall

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