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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Nov 13: Winter Storm Detected

Nov 13: Winter Storm Detected

🕔17:01, 13.Nov 2018

Please click here for full-resolution snow map! Please click here for full-resolution ice map! Discussion: A piece of upper-level energy will break off from a C US trough and form a cut-off 500mb low. This low should crawl through the TN/KY

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Mixed Conditions Continue (Nov 12-16)

Mixed Conditions Continue (Nov 12-16)

🕔17:28, 11.Nov 2018

Discussion: High pressure has control for tonight and will allow temperatures to bottom out low again. It should have control through most daylight hours tomorrow as well. By late Monday evening that high pressure should move away with a weak

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Colder Conditions Expected (Nov 9-11)

Colder Conditions Expected (Nov 9-11)

🕔15:48, 8.Nov 2018

Discussion: The two most prominent upper-level features over the next week or so are two troughs. The first trough should swing through this weekend between Saturday and Sunday. The second should swing through between Wednesday and Friday of next week.

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Mixed Conditions Expected (Nov 5-9)

Mixed Conditions Expected (Nov 5-9)

🕔20:46, 4.Nov 2018

Discussion: Most of NJ cooled down pretty fast after sunset this evening. I’m seeing many locations in the 30s (elevations, interior, pine barrens, etc) but some are holding in the upper-40s/lower-50s still…mostly along the SENJ coast and near the I-95

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Haunted Carousel Rocks Asbury Park

Haunted Carousel Rocks Asbury Park

🕔21:43, 1.Nov 2018

Photos by Scotty Hawk Photography Over the past few months I had the pleasure of working with a very talented group of friends and family to make Haunted Carousel a reality. Our goal was to throw a Halloween costume dance

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Wet Start. Settled Finish (Nov 2-4)

Wet Start. Settled Finish (Nov 2-4)

🕔20:41, 1.Nov 2018

Discussion: A strong upper-level jet will dominate the E US from now through Saturday morning. This should support two smaller surface disturbances bringing rain to New Jersey. First from early Friday morning through Friday afternoon and then the second from

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November Discussion with WeatherTrends360

November Discussion with WeatherTrends360

🕔15:19, 1.Nov 2018

It’s time to harness the WeatherTrends360 proprietary weather algorithms to see how November 2018 should play out. But first lets break New Jersey into climatologically-similar regions. We have the higher elevations of NNJ/NWNJ, the interior coastal plain and Newark Basin (SWNJ through CNJ and

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Nice Week Expected (Oct 29-Nov 2)

Nice Week Expected (Oct 29-Nov 2)

🕔13:12, 29.Oct 2018

Discussion: A trough is departing the E US into the Atlantic Ocean. A week ridge will replace the trough by Wednesday-Thursday before 500mb heights fall again for the weekend. At the surface this means high pressure controlling most of the

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Oct 25: Coastal Storm Approaching

Oct 25: Coastal Storm Approaching

🕔22:01, 25.Oct 2018

Discussion: Model guidance and live observations continue to tighten on the approaching coastal storm. The upper-levels continue the theme of an E US trough fed by the remnant energy from Willa. The surface solution has been bouncing around but the low’s

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Oct 24: Coastal Storm Update

Oct 24: Coastal Storm Update

🕔22:14, 24.Oct 2018

Discussion: Willa’s remnant upper-level energy will ultimately develop into an upper-level low over the E US this weekend. This trough will be fed an upper-level shortwave from the pacific jet that will be responsible for driving our early weekend storm system

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