Dec 4: Let’s Talk Snow
Discussion: We have two opportunities for snow this week. I don’t need to tell you that colder air is in place and it will stay over the Mid-Atlantic US well into next week. The first opportunity will likely be a very
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Posts From Jonathan Carr
Cold Dry Conditions Expected (Dec 3-7)
Discussion: Real quick: The Weather NJ mobile app is now live on Apple and Google …an early holiday gift to you all! The Dec 4-5th winter storm signal will be squashed way to the to the S of NJ by cold northerly
December Discussion with WeatherTrends360
It’s time to harness the WeatherTrends360 proprietary weather algorithms to see how December 2018 should play out. But first lets break New Jersey into climatologically-similar regions. We have the higher elevations of NNJ/NWNJ, the interior coastal plain and Newark Basin (SWNJ through CNJ and
Mild Wet Conditions Expected (Nov 30-Dec 2)
Discussion: A very weak disturbance could produce light precipitation Friday PM. Some of NNJ, lets say ~I-80 and N, could see frozen precipitation. Not much total moisture is involved with this so little-to-no accumulation is expected. Let’s still use some
Wet Start. Cold Dry Finish (Nov 26-30)
Discussion: The +PNA/-NAO/-AO pattern is in-place but a Mid-Atlantic winter storm will likely not happen this week. Instead a series of low transfers (Great Lakes->Gulf of Maine->Nova Scotia) should occur and eventually produce a very strong storm well to our
Mild Wet Conditions (Nov 24-25)
Discussion: 500mb heights should remain below-average through the weekend and especially next week. As high pressure departs further into the Atlantic Ocean this weekend, low pressure cutting to our NW into Canada will assist with the southerly flow. Tonight low
Frigid Conditions Expected (Nov 19-23)
Discussion: A strong upper-level NW jet will set up on the backside of a trough this week. This should deliver a blast of very cold air to NJ between Wednesday evening and Friday morning making Thursday (Thanksgiving Day) the bottom-out
Cold Uneventful Conditions Expected (Nov 16-18)
Discussion: The upper levels look very zonal through this weekend and into next week until a trough tries to slide in midweek. Zonal means calm and uneventful so that should be some good news for Thanksgiving travel. With the trough
Nov 15: Winter Storm Surprises
Discussion: Well, we knew there was a winter storm coming but sometimes mother nature throws a curve-ball. My expectations heading into this system included snow for NWNJ and snow-to-ice-to-rain for mostly everyone else in NJ. Today’s precipitation arrived early and
Nov 14: Winter Storm Approaching
Please click here for full-resolution snow map! Please click here for full-resolution ice map! Discussion: The general dynamics of this system have not changed. We still have an upper-level low breaking off from a C US trough and enhancing a surface
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