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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Haunted Carousel Rocks Asbury Park

Haunted Carousel Rocks Asbury Park

🕔21:43, 1.Nov 2018

Photos by Scotty Hawk Photography Over the past few months I had the pleasure of working with a very talented group of friends and family to make Haunted Carousel a reality. Our goal was to throw a Halloween costume dance

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Wet Start. Settled Finish (Nov 2-4)

Wet Start. Settled Finish (Nov 2-4)

🕔20:41, 1.Nov 2018

Discussion: A strong upper-level jet will dominate the E US from now through Saturday morning. This should support two smaller surface disturbances bringing rain to New Jersey. First from early Friday morning through Friday afternoon and then the second from

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November Discussion with WeatherTrends360

November Discussion with WeatherTrends360

🕔15:19, 1.Nov 2018

It’s time to harness the WeatherTrends360 proprietary weather algorithms to see how November 2018 should play out. But first lets break New Jersey into climatologically-similar regions. We have the higher elevations of NNJ/NWNJ, the interior coastal plain and Newark Basin (SWNJ through CNJ and

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Nice Week Expected (Oct 29-Nov 2)

Nice Week Expected (Oct 29-Nov 2)

🕔13:12, 29.Oct 2018

Discussion: A trough is departing the E US into the Atlantic Ocean. A week ridge will replace the trough by Wednesday-Thursday before 500mb heights fall again for the weekend. At the surface this means high pressure controlling most of the

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Oct 25: Coastal Storm Approaching

Oct 25: Coastal Storm Approaching

🕔22:01, 25.Oct 2018

Discussion: Model guidance and live observations continue to tighten on the approaching coastal storm. The upper-levels continue the theme of an E US trough fed by the remnant energy from Willa. The surface solution has been bouncing around but the low’s

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Oct 24: Coastal Storm Update

Oct 24: Coastal Storm Update

🕔22:14, 24.Oct 2018

Discussion: Willa’s remnant upper-level energy will ultimately develop into an upper-level low over the E US this weekend. This trough will be fed an upper-level shortwave from the pacific jet that will be responsible for driving our early weekend storm system

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Oct 23: Coastal Storm Detected

Oct 23: Coastal Storm Detected

🕔16:09, 23.Oct 2018

Discussion: The Oct 27-31 synoptic storm signal that I’ve been tracking since ~Oct 10 will likely come into fruition this weekend. The source? Hurricane Willa in the Pacific Ocean. Willa is currently located S of the Baja Peninsula and just

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Colder Week Expected (Oct 22-26)

Colder Week Expected (Oct 22-26)

🕔18:54, 21.Oct 2018

Discussion: A quick note about tonight (Sunday night). High pressure is set up just to our W providing N flow. The flow should subside heading into overnight hours. The combination of lighter winds and clear skies could allow for radiational

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Mild Start. Cold Finish (Oct 19-21)

Mild Start. Cold Finish (Oct 19-21)

🕔16:29, 18.Oct 2018

Discussion: This weekend is fairly straight-forward. High pressure dominated today and tomorrow with dry typical fall conditions. As the high drifts into the Atlantic Ocean, it’s back-side return flow will bring milder temps for Friday-Saturday. A little bit of rain moves

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Fall Conditions Sustain (Oct 15-19)

Fall Conditions Sustain (Oct 15-19)

🕔21:39, 14.Oct 2018

Discussion: A W US ridge pattern should continue this week with several deep but progressive troughs passing through the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast US. This should anchor a cut-off low over the SW US. At the surface this means more shots

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