Discussion: The +PNA/-NAO/-AO pattern is in-place but a Mid-Atlantic winter storm will likely not happen this week. Instead a series of low transfers (Great Lakes->Gulf of Maine->Nova Scotia) should occur and eventually produce a very strong storm well to our
Discussion: 500mb heights should remain below-average through the weekend and especially next week. As high pressure departs further into the Atlantic Ocean this weekend, low pressure cutting to our NW into Canada will assist with the southerly flow. Tonight low
Discussion: A strong upper-level NW jet will set up on the backside of a trough this week. This should deliver a blast of very cold air to NJ between Wednesday evening and Friday morning making Thursday (Thanksgiving Day) the bottom-out
Discussion: The upper levels look very zonal through this weekend and into next week until a trough tries to slide in midweek. Zonal means calm and uneventful so that should be some good news for Thanksgiving travel. With the trough
Discussion: Well, we knew there was a winter storm coming but sometimes mother nature throws a curve-ball. My expectations heading into this system included snow for NWNJ and snow-to-ice-to-rain for mostly everyone else in NJ. Today’s precipitation arrived early and
Please click here for full-resolution snow map! Please click here for full-resolution ice map! Discussion: The general dynamics of this system have not changed. We still have an upper-level low breaking off from a C US trough and enhancing a surface
Please click here for full-resolution snow map! Please click here for full-resolution ice map! Discussion: A piece of upper-level energy will break off from a C US trough and form a cut-off 500mb low. This low should crawl through the TN/KY
Discussion: High pressure has control for tonight and will allow temperatures to bottom out low again. It should have control through most daylight hours tomorrow as well. By late Monday evening that high pressure should move away with a weak
Discussion: The two most prominent upper-level features over the next week or so are two troughs. The first trough should swing through this weekend between Saturday and Sunday. The second should swing through between Wednesday and Friday of next week.
Discussion: Most of NJ cooled down pretty fast after sunset this evening. I’m seeing many locations in the 30s (elevations, interior, pine barrens, etc) but some are holding in the upper-40s/lower-50s still…mostly along the SENJ coast and near the I-95
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