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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Jan 18: Snow Ice and Rain Storm Approaching

Jan 18: Snow Ice and Rain Storm Approaching Updated

🕔16:45, 18.Jan 2019

For full-resolution snow map please click here! For full-resolution ice map please click here! For full-resolution rain map please click here! Discussion: This storm system is very complex both in mesoscale components and change over duration of the event. It is

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Jan 17: Weekend Winter Storm Update

Jan 17: Weekend Winter Storm Update Updated

🕔16:45, 17.Jan 2019

For full-resolution snow map please click here! For full-resolution ice map please click here! For full-resolution rain map please click here! Discussion: The above winter storm impact maps are fairly self-explanatory. As far as pure snow goes only NJ areas N

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Jan 16: Winter Weather Update

Jan 16: Winter Weather Update

🕔17:16, 16.Jan 2019

Discussion: Just like this past weekend for SNJ, this first system is not that big of a deal. However, it doesn’t take much to present safety hazards especially when the morning rush hour commute is affected. The first system should start

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Jan 15: Snow Map for System One

Jan 15: Snow Map for System One

🕔16:23, 15.Jan 2019

Discussion: My main focus right now is on the first Thursday night-Friday morning system. This is an overall weak system that came onshore yesterday off the Pacific Ocean (onto California). From now until Thursday it should track from W to E

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Jan 14: The Tale of Two Systems

Jan 14: The Tale of Two Systems

🕔20:19, 14.Jan 2019

Discussion: While most of the focus is on the bigger weekend potential, we cannot drop our guard for a sneaky wave Thursday night into Friday morning. Energy is just coming off the Pacific Ocean onto California for this first system. The

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The Next Winter Storm Signal

The Next Winter Storm Signal

🕔14:16, 13.Jan 2019

Discussion: We have a lot to talk about. First, a final update and quick recap of this weekend’s winter storm. A few final bands of snow are still moving out of SNJ but have 1-2 hours left of impact. I expect

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Jan 11: Updated Weekend Snow Map

Jan 11: Updated Weekend Snow Map

🕔16:54, 11.Jan 2019

Discussion: Dynamics are leaning towards the heavier wildcard from yesterday’s discussion. It’s still not looking like a shut-down snow storm but it could mean a plowable event for a larger part of SNJ. We’re dealing with a fairly weak, but strong-enough,

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Jan 10: Light Snow Event Expected

Jan 10: Light Snow Event Expected

🕔17:50, 10.Jan 2019

Discussion: Low pressure will track across the SE US and eject into the Atlantic Ocean over OBX. From there it is not expected to turn up the coast and produce a major snow storm. Instead it will likely remain on

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Jan 9: Weekend Snow Detected

Jan 9: Weekend Snow Detected

🕔19:33, 9.Jan 2019

Discussion: Changes in the western Pacific ocean indicate a more active pattern from about January 20 and forward into February. It takes about two weeks for downstream-propagation for such changes to reach the E US. We’re not there yet, including this

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Jan 7: Wintry Threat for NNJ Tonight

Jan 7: Wintry Threat for NNJ Tonight

🕔14:00, 7.Jan 2019

Discussion: It’s no secret that last night was cold and temperatures have struggled to climb today. For the areas of expected wintry impact overnight tonight temperatures have failed to climb above freezing today. For the lower 2/3 of NJ temperatures are

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