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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Snow? Let’s Discuss (Nov 4-8)

Snow? Let’s Discuss (Nov 4-8)

🕔18:21, 3.Nov 2019

Discussion: Temps maxed out in the 50s today (Sunday) and will likely dip for another cold Sunday night/overnight. I’d expect below-freezing for most areas away from the SNJ coast especially NNJ elevations. We then moderate some from Monday into Thursday

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November 2019 Outlook

November 2019 Outlook

🕔14:44, 1.Nov 2019

It’s time to harness WeatherTrends360 technology and look at how November 2019 should play out. WeatherTrends360 algorithms are documented with an 84% verification rate and are based on oceanic water cycles, time table series and very complex mathematics. The best

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Colder and Dry (Nov 1-3)

Colder and Dry (Nov 1-3)

🕔15:35, 31.Oct 2019

Discussion: First a quick update on this evening. The lull in precipitation is still expected to last through trick or treat hours tonight. Areas along and NW of the turnpike have the best chance for a passing shower but nothing

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Halloween Trick or Treat Forecast

Halloween Trick or Treat Forecast

🕔16:10, 30.Oct 2019

Discussion: I wish to extend great empathy for parents and guardians worried about their children tomorrow night during primary trick or treat hours. There are some articles out there calling for Book of Genesis rainfall and Wizard of Oz winds.

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Unsettled Conditions (Oct 28-Nov 1)

Unsettled Conditions (Oct 28-Nov 1)

🕔21:31, 27.Oct 2019

Discussion: Upper-level ridging should dominate the pattern through Wednesday possibly even some of Thursday. At the surface this means high pressure but not necessarily clear. We might see some raw misty onshore flow conditions in the Tuesday-Wednesday period. Monday-Thursday looks

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Great Start Wet Finish (Oct 25-27)

Great Start Wet Finish (Oct 25-27)

🕔12:03, 24.Oct 2019

Discussion: upper-level ridging should dominate the first half of the weekend pattern with high pressure at the surface. This should keep us mostly dry from now through Saturday night. A weak shortwave should then track through the Great Lakes (well

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Operation Halloween Forecast – This Weekend!

Operation Halloween Forecast – This Weekend!

🕔16:45, 23.Oct 2019

It is our great honor to provide a Weather NJ Special Event Forecast for the 8th annual 2019 Operation Halloween charity event this weekend! WEATHER NJ SPECIAL EVENT FORECAST Friday (Oct 25) daytime high temperatures should reach into the upper-60s

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Mixed Conditions (Oct 22-25)

Mixed Conditions (Oct 22-25)

🕔19:58, 21.Oct 2019

Discussion: Nothing crazy to talk about after the recent synoptic coastal storm systems. The upper-levels are barely conversational with transient positive and negative height anomalies in a progressive flow. A frontal passage should bring some rain across the region between

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Oct 20: Coastal Storm Begins

Oct 20: Coastal Storm Begins

🕔09:31, 20.Oct 2019

Discussion: Good morning! In the upper-levels we have some remnant energy barely recognizable as a short-wave on 500mb analysis. Just a small hiccup in the establishing E US/W Atlantic Ridge. At the surface we have an extra-tropical cyclone (now establishing

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Oct 19: Coastal Storm Approaching

Oct 19: Coastal Storm Approaching

🕔15:40, 19.Oct 2019

Discussion: Remnants of Nestor are approaching in the form of an extra-tropical cyclone. Not a nor’easter by my criteria but certainly a coastal storm. There are no tricks in the upper-levels. This system is heading into an establishing ridge and

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