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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Nov 20: Watching Saturday Night

Nov 20: Watching Saturday Night

🕔16:57, 20.Nov 2019

Discussion: Not much to write home about over the next few days. A warm front should move through from SW to NE Thursday PM. Therefore we’ll have milder and more humid air moving into a colder departing air mass with

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Mixed Conditions (Nov 18-22)

Mixed Conditions (Nov 18-22)

🕔16:30, 17.Nov 2019

Discussion: Let’s talk about tonight real quick. The rainfall from the coastal low so far has been confined to mostly along and SE of the turnpike in the form of on-and-off drizzle/mist. As I’ve been saying leading up to this

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Nov 16: Coastal Storm Approaching

Nov 16: Coastal Storm Approaching

🕔21:24, 16.Nov 2019

Discussion: The coastal storm is now rapidly developing off the SE US. You can see it here on satellite imagery a few hundred miles east of the GA/SC border: https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=global-northamerica-14-48-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=data The high is currently over upstate New York and slowing

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Nov 15: Coastal Storm Developing

Nov 15: Coastal Storm Developing

🕔16:24, 15.Nov 2019

Discussion: Our coastal storm is currently developing off the coast of Georgia and South Carolina. It should remain offshore and track to about OBX latitude before stalling. High pressure over the NE US will hold it there for a little

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Coastal Concerns (Nov 15-17)

Coastal Concerns (Nov 15-17)

🕔17:14, 14.Nov 2019

Discussion: The upper-level cut-off low that was stalled over the Baja Peninsula is tracking across the S US from W to E. It will merge with a northern stream shortwave and produce a strong synoptic rainstorm for the SE US

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Nov 12: Arctic Cold has Arrived

Nov 12: Arctic Cold has Arrived

🕔16:35, 12.Nov 2019

Discussion: Our Arctic frontal boundary has pushed through as expected and we’re now under the influence of an air mass that originated over the Arctic Ocean. The Arctic high that dropped out of Canada over ~North Dakota has opened the

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Another Taste of Winter (Nov 11-15)

Another Taste of Winter (Nov 11-15)

🕔09:26, 11.Nov 2019

Discussion: First a Happy Veterans Day and a thank you to all who have served our country! The Arctic high is officially into the central/NW US at 1046mb. As it tracks southward, further into the central US, its anti-cyclonic flow

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A Taste of Winter (Nov 8-10)

A Taste of Winter (Nov 8-10)

🕔18:23, 7.Nov 2019

Discussion: Rainfall is pushing through NJ as expected. Rain to start and finish for most areas with just a chance of NWNJ elevations ending with wintry precipitation. Elevations greater than 1200 feet should expect anything from just rain ending as

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Nov 6: Rain Ends as Snow for Some

Nov 6: Rain Ends as Snow for Some

🕔16:30, 6.Nov 2019

Discussion: A strong area of high pressure is diving down out of Canada into the US near North Dakota/Montana. This high will track S of the Great Lakes and into the Atlantic Ocean S of New Jersey. That puts the

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Nov 5: Watching Thursday Night

Nov 5: Watching Thursday Night

🕔16:27, 5.Nov 2019

Discussion: An Arctic high is currently dropping out of Canada into the US near the Montana/North Dakota area. This high is expected to track E/SE, to the S of the Great Lakes and depart into the Atlantic Ocean somewhere in

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