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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Nov 25: Strong Storm Signal for Next Week

Nov 25: Strong Storm Signal for Next Week

🕔17:14, 25.Nov 2019

Discussion: The purpose of this article is not to scare anyone to the store for eggs, milk and bread almost a week in-advance of a snowstorm. But rather to inform everyone of a strongly-modeled storm signal, with winter potential, for

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Mild Start. Cold Finish (Nov 25-29)

Mild Start. Cold Finish (Nov 25-29)

🕔19:37, 24.Nov 2019

Discussion: It looks like we’ll get a short break this week from the below-average temperatures that we’ve gotten used to. Monday through Wednesday looks relatively mild with highs well into the 50s for many areas and in some cases flirting

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Unsettled Conditions (Nov 22-24)

Unsettled Conditions (Nov 22-24)

🕔13:31, 21.Nov 2019

Discussion: A low pressure system will track through the Great Lakes into SE Canada between tomorrow (Friday) and Saturday morning. From this system NJ will first see a warm front move through this evening (Thursday), from SW to NE, followed

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Nov 20: Watching Saturday Night

Nov 20: Watching Saturday Night

🕔16:57, 20.Nov 2019

Discussion: Not much to write home about over the next few days. A warm front should move through from SW to NE Thursday PM. Therefore we’ll have milder and more humid air moving into a colder departing air mass with

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Mixed Conditions (Nov 18-22)

Mixed Conditions (Nov 18-22)

🕔16:30, 17.Nov 2019

Discussion: Let’s talk about tonight real quick. The rainfall from the coastal low so far has been confined to mostly along and SE of the turnpike in the form of on-and-off drizzle/mist. As I’ve been saying leading up to this

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Nov 16: Coastal Storm Approaching

Nov 16: Coastal Storm Approaching

🕔21:24, 16.Nov 2019

Discussion: The coastal storm is now rapidly developing off the SE US. You can see it here on satellite imagery a few hundred miles east of the GA/SC border: https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=global-northamerica-14-48-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=data The high is currently over upstate New York and slowing

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Nov 15: Coastal Storm Developing

Nov 15: Coastal Storm Developing

🕔16:24, 15.Nov 2019

Discussion: Our coastal storm is currently developing off the coast of Georgia and South Carolina. It should remain offshore and track to about OBX latitude before stalling. High pressure over the NE US will hold it there for a little

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Coastal Concerns (Nov 15-17)

Coastal Concerns (Nov 15-17)

🕔17:14, 14.Nov 2019

Discussion: The upper-level cut-off low that was stalled over the Baja Peninsula is tracking across the S US from W to E. It will merge with a northern stream shortwave and produce a strong synoptic rainstorm for the SE US

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Nov 12: Arctic Cold has Arrived

Nov 12: Arctic Cold has Arrived

🕔16:35, 12.Nov 2019

Discussion: Our Arctic frontal boundary has pushed through as expected and we’re now under the influence of an air mass that originated over the Arctic Ocean. The Arctic high that dropped out of Canada over ~North Dakota has opened the

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Another Taste of Winter (Nov 11-15)

Another Taste of Winter (Nov 11-15)

🕔09:26, 11.Nov 2019

Discussion: First a Happy Veterans Day and a thank you to all who have served our country! The Arctic high is officially into the central/NW US at 1046mb. As it tracks southward, further into the central US, its anti-cyclonic flow

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