Discussion: Some passing isolated showers later today/tonight but no big deal. The warm season has begun! The weekend looks pretty good Friday through Sunday AM however there is lots to discuss. Upper-level 250mb analysis indicates the jet staying to the
Discussion: The upper-jet is now over NJ and will eventually move N of NJ by Thursday with a correlating air mass of above-average 500mb geopotential height anomalies (ridging) over NJ. That warmer upper-level pattern then looks to sustain for the
Discussion: Upper-level analysis indicates the jet staying S of NJ this weekend in the continued-E US trough pattern with abnormally low 500mb geopotential height anomalies. If this was winter the snow lovers would be excited. But it’s not. The sun
Discussion: I’ve seen happier outlooks for the Mid-Atlantic and NorthEast US before. 250mb and 500mb analysis indicates the upper-jet staying over or S of NJ with prolonged upper-level troughing as far as I can comfortably see. This means below-average temperatures
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Discussion: Low pressure has passed through and will now track towards the Maine/SE Canada region. We’re left on the back-side of cyclonic flow with enough nearby lifting, from the departing low, to spark a few showers and even t-storms today.
Discussion: Another weather system featuring powerful upper-level dynamics should impact New Jersey tonight through Friday morning. Let’s break it down from top to bottom. 250mb jet analysis indicates a strong southerly jet streak for the E US coast on Thursday
Discussion: There will be no major synoptic storms this week despite the active and meridional look to the upper-level jet and 500mb height anomalies. At the surface we currently (Sunday) have a slow moving and weak low pressure system tracking
Discussion: The upper-level jet should stay to the S of NJ this weekend with a trough of below-average geopotential height anomalies overhead. This should keep NJ and surrounding areas very unsettled with colder air aloft over a milder surface temperature
Discussion: A very active pattern is likely for the next week or so. The upper-levels should see multiple shortwaves and troughs for the Mid-Atlantic US. At the surface the first disturbance is Monday. A low will eject near OBX and
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