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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Jan 7: Snowfall Approaching

Jan 7: Snowfall Approaching

🕔11:02, 7.Jan 2020

Discussion: Our system has trended towards an expanded field of snowfall. It hasn’t trended towards more snow than yesterday’s expectation just further N into New Jersey. There is going to be a sharp cutoff of precipitation on the N/NW side

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Jan 6: Set the Alarms

Jan 6: Set the Alarms

🕔16:46, 6.Jan 2020

Discussion: A very weak disturbance will form overnight tonight in the Tennessee Valley and track through the Delmarva Peninsula area by early Wednesday morning. This should deliver a period of rain-to-snow across parts of CNJ/SNJ between about 5pm and 10pm

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Snow in the Forecast (Jan 6-10)

Snow in the Forecast (Jan 6-10)

🕔16:44, 5.Jan 2020

Discussion: Tonight we should dip into the upper-20s/lower-30s (NNJ/SNJ) with NNJ/CNJ favored for a few flurries and snow showers. Then we’re pretty seasonal from Monday through Wednesday temperature wise…above freezing during the day and below freezing overnight. Tuesday PM is

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Unsettled Conditions Possibly End as Snow (Jan 3-5)

Unsettled Conditions Possibly End as Snow (Jan 3-5)

🕔16:52, 2.Jan 2020

Discussion: Conditions over the north pole, specifically the Polar Vortex (PV), remain unfavorable for a sustained cold and snowy pattern through at least January 15th. Upstream eastern Pacific conditions, specifically the EPO and PNA, remain unfavorable for any large slow

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January 2020 Outlook

January 2020 Outlook

🕔14:16, 31.Dec 2019

It’s time to harness WeatherTrends360 technology and look at how January 2020 should play out. WeatherTrends360 algorithms are documented with an 84% verification rate and are based on oceanic water cycles, time table series and very complex mathematics. The best

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Temps Continue to Roller Coaster (Dec 30-Jan 3)

Temps Continue to Roller Coaster (Dec 30-Jan 3)

🕔11:11, 30.Dec 2019

Discussion: After a foggy/rainy start for most of New Jersey Monday should improve after the last round of rain moves through by late-afternoon. You might even hear a boomer. Conditions then improve for Monday night and temperatures roller coaster a

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Mild & Benign Conditions Continue (Dec 27-29)

Mild & Benign Conditions Continue (Dec 27-29)

🕔13:18, 27.Dec 2019

Discussion: The upper (250mb) jet is expected to remain over or just N of New Jersey for the immediate forecasting period (through first few days of 2020). 500mb geopotential height anomalies will correlate with above-average values through Dec 31 until

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Christmas Outlook (Dec 23-27)

Christmas Outlook (Dec 23-27)

🕔14:29, 23.Dec 2019

Discussion: I’m not trying to start a religious or holiday war. I celebrate the tradition of Christmas and so do many who follow Weather NJ. However I understand that some/many of you celebrate different traditions and holidays some not at

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Temperatures to Moderate (Dec 20-22)

Temperatures to Moderate (Dec 20-22)

🕔15:51, 19.Dec 2019

Discussion: I believe not one single NJ town or city rose above freezing today for high temperatures. Tonight will be another Arctic-influenced bitter night with overnight temperatures ranging from single digits in NNJ elevations to upper-teens/lower-20s along the immediate SNJ

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Dec 18: Cold Air Arrives

Dec 18: Cold Air Arrives

🕔16:10, 18.Dec 2019

Discussion: The upper-level jet and a closed-off upper-level low will swing through the extreme NE US between now (Wednesday) and Friday. This should result in cold NW winds at the surface for all of New Jersey in that same time

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