We Bake (July 17-19)
Discussion: The upper jet should remain to the N of NJ until the bottom of a trough swings through next weekend. That leaves our region in a sea of ridging until then with the strongest flex point this coming Sunday-Monday.
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Posts From Jonathan Carr
Some Relief. Then Back to HHH (July 13-17)
Discussion: A quick-moving narrow trough will move through between now (Monday) and Wednesday of this week. This should provide a small window of relief from heat and humidity in the Tuesday-Wednesday period as upper-level flow becomes NW and steers some
Long-Range WeatherTrends360 Outlook
It’s time to harness WeatherTrends360 technology and look at how the rest of July 2020 should play out. WeatherTrends360 algorithms are documented with an 84% verification rate and are based on oceanic water cycles, time table series and very complex
Conditions to Improve (July 10-12)
Discussion: A quick update on the “Tropical Storm” currently impacting NJ. Most conditions are going as expected regarding rain, wind and coastal flooding. I’m not sure we’ll reach tropical storm intensity but whatever. Either way this is much needed rainfall
July 9: Coastal Storm Approaching
Discussion: Our coastal system is organizing just SE of Bald Head Island, NC (S OBX). The latest trends in model guidance indicate the system riding slightly further W up the back of the ridge which will be located over NE
July 8: Coastal Disturbance Detected
Discussion: A low pressure disturbance is currently forming on the coastal border of North and South Carolina. We’re not talking about a powerful system but organized enough to bring nuisance-to-mildly-disruptive conditions to the E US coast (OBX to NYC) between
The Heat is On (July 6-10)
Discussion: The upper-jet should remain positioned well to the N of NJ this week. 500mb height anomalies should stay slightly positive (ridging) for the E US. At the surface this spells out more warm, humid and slightly unsettled conditions…meaning mostly
Warm and Humid (July 3-5)
Discussion: First of all, my family would like to wish everyone a Happy 4th of July! The upper-levels still indicate the steep progressive trough nearby to our E and NE. There’s also a correlating surface low to our E but
Summery Conditions (June 29-July 3)
Discussion: An area of low pressure off coastal New England will dominate the pattern through about Thursday of this week. This will provide periods of northerly flow to New Jersey and the Mid-Atlantic US which will not allow record-type heat.
Warm, Humid and Slightly Unsettled (June 26-28)
Discussion: The upper-jet looks scrambled a bit (meridionally) over our region this weekend and next week. A few week and progressive troughs are continuing to break off the front of the overall ridge jet dip to our N and NE.
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