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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Mild Conditions (March 9-13)

Mild Conditions (March 9-13)

🕔14:40, 9.Mar 2020

Discussion: The upper-level jet should remain loose and disorganized over the E US through about Thursday. We’ll then see an upper-level jet streak overhead for Friday-Saturday. Aside from a transient trough nose swinging through in that same period, much of

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Cold Wet Start. Mild Sunny Finish (March 6-8)

Cold Wet Start. Mild Sunny Finish (March 6-8)

🕔15:47, 5.Mar 2020

Discussion: A very dynamic upper-level interaction should occur between an incoming transient trough and a southern stream shortwave this Friday-Sat AM. Right now the southern energy is expected to race ahead of the trough on Friday bringing warmer rain and

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March 2020 Outlook

March 2020 Outlook

🕔15:25, 2.Mar 2020

It’s time to harness WeatherTrends360 technology and look at how the rest of March 2020 should play out. WeatherTrends360 algorithms are documented with an 84% verification rate and are based on oceanic water cycles, time table series and very complex

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Spring is in the Air (March 2-6)

Spring is in the Air (March 2-6)

🕔15:58, 1.Mar 2020

Discussion: The Mid-Atlantic US should be dominated by converging upper-level jets in a progressive and zonal pattern through at least Thursday this week. We’ll then see a dip in the upper-level jet for Friday-Saturday which will naturally form an upper-level

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Dry and Colder (Feb 28-Mar 1)

Dry and Colder (Feb 28-Mar 1)

🕔10:54, 28.Feb 2020

Discussion: The 250mb jets (Polar and Pacific) are converging to the SW of NJ and keeping the overall jet pattern S of NJ this weekend. The jet should rise back over and N of NJ by Tuesday followed by a

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Unsettled Conditions (Feb 24-28)

Unsettled Conditions (Feb 24-28)

🕔13:12, 24.Feb 2020

Discussion: The upper-level (250mb) jet looks very aggressive over the Mid-Atlantic and NorthEast US this Wednesday overnight into Thursday morning. I see a strong jet streak with ample divergence and difluence aloft. This was the signal I mentioned last week.

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Cold Start. Mild Finish (Feb 20-23)

Cold Start. Mild Finish (Feb 20-23)

🕔14:22, 19.Feb 2020

Discussion: Another very positive-tilted upper-level trough will swing through over the next few days before giving way back to above-average geopotential heights Saturday into the first half of next week. That should put NJ inside the trough tonight through tomorrow

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Colder Conditions Moderate (Feb 14-16)

Colder Conditions Moderate (Feb 14-16)

🕔08:42, 14.Feb 2020

Discussion: A positive-tilted and progressive trough is currently swinging through the region and should give way to the front side of a ridge with upper-level NW flow. This is responsible for bringing the colder conditions that started last night (Thursday)

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Unsettled Start Cold Finish (Feb 10-14)

Unsettled Start Cold Finish (Feb 10-14)

🕔20:58, 9.Feb 2020

Discussion: Real quick, some precipitation is moving through tonight. Extreme NNJ could see some wintry precipitation type from this. It should move out by tomorrow morning. E US ridging and a Bermuda high should keep temperatures above average through Wednesday.

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Mild and Stormy to Colder and Unsettled (Feb 7-9)

Mild and Stormy to Colder and Unsettled (Feb 7-9)

🕔18:00, 6.Feb 2020

Discussion: The next and more significant precipitation slug moves through between tonight and about 6am tomorrow morning. SENJ should receive more rainfall than NWNJ but everyone’s on the hook for widespread periods of moderate, sometimes heavy, rain overnight tonight. Precipitation

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