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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Unsettled Conditions (April 24-26)

Unsettled Conditions (April 24-26)

🕔15:07, 23.Apr 2020

Discussion: The upper-level jet should stay to the S of NJ this weekend with a trough of below-average geopotential height anomalies overhead. This should keep NJ and surrounding areas very unsettled with colder air aloft over a milder surface temperature

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Mixed Conditions (April 20-24)

Mixed Conditions (April 20-24)

🕔15:19, 19.Apr 2020

Discussion: A very active pattern is likely for the next week or so. The upper-levels should see multiple shortwaves and troughs for the Mid-Atlantic US. At the surface the first disturbance is Monday. A low will eject near OBX and

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Unsettled Start. Mild Finish (April 17-19)

Unsettled Start. Mild Finish (April 17-19)

🕔09:54, 17.Apr 2020

Discussion: Not much to speak of in the upper levels. A zonal jet pattern overhead with slightly negative geopotential height anomalies. We have a weak disturbance tracking through the N Mid-Atlantic US. It should move in tonight (Friday) and clear

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Rough Start (April 13-17)

Rough Start (April 13-17)

🕔17:39, 12.Apr 2020

Discussion: This week is all about the damaging wind potential on Monday. After that it’s boring. Slightly cooler than we’d all like for this time of year but uneventful as the below daily forecast indicates. So let’s talk about Monday.

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Mixed Conditions (April 10-12)

Mixed Conditions (April 10-12)

🕔11:26, 9.Apr 2020

Discussion: Upper-level geopotential height anomalies look low for as long as I can comfortably see (out to about April 19 or so). Just one transient period of positive anomalies this Sunday-Monday. We have a well-organized system tracking through New England

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Mild Spring Conditions (April 6-10)

Mild Spring Conditions (April 6-10)

🕔14:41, 5.Apr 2020

Discussion: The upper-jet looks to stay near/overhead of NJ this week in a zonal configuration. The jet will slowly build intensity and likely flex into a decent streak by Thursday-Friday. 500mb geopotential height anomalies should be near-average for the start

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Turning Milder (April 3-5)

Turning Milder (April 3-5)

🕔16:48, 2.Apr 2020

Discussion: The upper jet is split with the primary streak to our S and a weaker dissolving streak to our N. The N part is powered by the backside (W side) of the departing upper-level low and front side (E

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April 2020 Outlook

April 2020 Outlook

🕔12:24, 2.Apr 2020

It’s time to harness WeatherTrends360 technology and look at how the rest of April 2020 should play out. WeatherTrends360 algorithms are documented with an 84% verification rate and are based on oceanic water cycles, time table series and very complex

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Cooler Conditions (March 31-April 3)

Cooler Conditions (March 31-April 3)

🕔16:06, 30.Mar 2020

Discussion: The upper-jet should remain mostly zonal through Wednesday before dipping S of NJ Thursday into Friday. After that, high pressure backs in from the NE and decently splits the jet to our N and S. Nothing exciting to speak

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Unsettled Conditions (March 27-29)

Unsettled Conditions (March 27-29)

🕔10:36, 27.Mar 2020

Discussion: The upper-jet should stay to the N of NJ this weekend before sinking over/just S of NJ by mid next week. 500mb height anomalies should be positive for this weekend correlating with the jet-formed ridge before lowering for next

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