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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Pleasant Start. Humidity Returns (June 8-12)

Pleasant Start. Humidity Returns (June 8-12)

🕔12:06, 8.Jun 2020

Discussion: The upper jet should stay to the N of NJ this week in a sea of ridging. The first part of this week features NW flow on the front of the ridge and the last-half, SW flow from the

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More Storms then Nice (June 5-7)

More Storms then Nice (June 5-7)

🕔22:39, 4.Jun 2020

Discussion: For tonight, we remain in a warm and muggy pattern mostly from the back-side return flow of high pressure near Bermuda. This flow has coupled with weak anticyclonic energy to our W to form W/SW flow across the Appalachian

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June 2020 Outlook

June 2020 Outlook

🕔16:18, 3.Jun 2020

It’s time to harness WeatherTrends360 technology and look at how the rest of June 2020 should play out. WeatherTrends360 algorithms are documented with an 84% verification rate and are based on oceanic water cycles, time table series and very complex

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June 3: Thunderstorms Approaching!

June 3: Thunderstorms Approaching!

🕔09:41, 3.Jun 2020

Discussion: We’ve had a warm front come through and that’s why today feels warmer and more humid. A cold front is expected to push through overnight tonight but that leaves a very warm and unstable environment today with the warm

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Unsettled Start. Beautiful Finish (May 29-31)

Unsettled Start. Beautiful Finish (May 29-31)

🕔21:33, 28.May 2020

Discussion: A NW upper jet should be nearby NJ for the foreseeable near future. We’re going to build a trough slowly between Saturday and Sunday which should flex Sunday-Tuesday before heights rise Wednesday-forward. High pressure has remained nearly stationary the

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Warmer Conditions Expected (May 26-29)

Warmer Conditions Expected (May 26-29)

🕔15:39, 25.May 2020

Discussion: Happy Memorial Day everyone! A moment of silence, appreciation and gratitude to those who have fallen to protect our amazing way of life… The upper-jet should stay to the N of NJ through at least Friday. This will correlate

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Memorial Day Weekend Outlook

Memorial Day Weekend Outlook

🕔23:04, 21.May 2020

Discussion: We currently have an upper level low over KY/TN weakening as it is colliding with strong ridging over SE Canada/NE US. It if fizzled out completely we would not have a worry about nuisance precipitation Friday-Saturday. But it does

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Unsettled Conditions (May 18-22)

Unsettled Conditions (May 18-22)

🕔16:14, 17.May 2020

Discussion: Rough ocean conditions should have the headline this week despite much better conditions inland and away from water. The upper jet should stay way to the N of NJ this week. Normally this would produce a heat wave sea

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The Warm Season Begins (May 15-17)

The Warm Season Begins (May 15-17)

🕔11:18, 14.May 2020

Discussion: Some passing isolated showers later today/tonight but no big deal. The warm season has begun! The weekend looks pretty good Friday through Sunday AM however there is lots to discuss. Upper-level 250mb analysis indicates the jet staying to the

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The Good Stuff is Coming (May 11-15)

The Good Stuff is Coming (May 11-15)

🕔12:08, 11.May 2020

Discussion: The upper-jet is now over NJ and will eventually move N of NJ by Thursday with a correlating air mass of above-average 500mb geopotential height anomalies (ridging) over NJ. That warmer upper-level pattern then looks to sustain for the

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