Discussion: A quick update on the “Tropical Storm” currently impacting NJ. Most conditions are going as expected regarding rain, wind and coastal flooding. I’m not sure we’ll reach tropical storm intensity but whatever. Either way this is much needed rainfall
Discussion: Our coastal system is organizing just SE of Bald Head Island, NC (S OBX). The latest trends in model guidance indicate the system riding slightly further W up the back of the ridge which will be located over NE
Discussion: A low pressure disturbance is currently forming on the coastal border of North and South Carolina. We’re not talking about a powerful system but organized enough to bring nuisance-to-mildly-disruptive conditions to the E US coast (OBX to NYC) between
Discussion: The upper-jet should remain positioned well to the N of NJ this week. 500mb height anomalies should stay slightly positive (ridging) for the E US. At the surface this spells out more warm, humid and slightly unsettled conditions…meaning mostly
Discussion: First of all, my family would like to wish everyone a Happy 4th of July! The upper-levels still indicate the steep progressive trough nearby to our E and NE. There’s also a correlating surface low to our E but
Discussion: An area of low pressure off coastal New England will dominate the pattern through about Thursday of this week. This will provide periods of northerly flow to New Jersey and the Mid-Atlantic US which will not allow record-type heat.
Discussion: The upper-jet looks scrambled a bit (meridionally) over our region this weekend and next week. A few week and progressive troughs are continuing to break off the front of the overall ridge jet dip to our N and NE.
Discussion: The upper-jet is pretty far N of NJ. I don’t need to tell you that the surface warm front is through. It should stay this way through Wednesday with NJ firmly planted in a warm sector. Sometime in the
Discussion: The upper-level low that broke off of last week’s trough has been churning over the interior S Mid-Atlantic/SE US for most of this week as expected. The ridge over SE Canada and NE US, however, has been obliterating the
Discussion: We’ve got an active upper-jet pattern in place for the next week or so. Cristobal’s remnants have formed a post-tropical cyclone in E Canada with a frontal boundary attached to it’s S. This frontal boundary is what currently moved
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