Discussion: To address today (Thursday, Aug 13) real quick, we still have an area of convergence along a near-stationary frontal boundary positioned right over the I-95/NJTP corridor. This is producing more near-stationary downpours and thunderstorms for CNJ and SNJ capable
Discussion: Again, not much to speak of in the upper-levels. The upper-jet should stay well N of NJ with any jet streaks weak and zonal. 500mb height analysis indicates we’ll be under a weak ridge centered over SE Canada/NE US/N
Discussion: There’s nothing really worth discussing in the upper-levels. 250mb jet analysis and 500mb geopotential height analysis indicate no major features to worry about. The main player this weekend will be an area of high pressure tracking from the Great
Discussion: Hope everyone is staying safe out there! The eye of Isaias remnants is currently moving from N Delaware into SWNJ. This will calm the winds for SWNJ but NNJ and CNJ will remain under gusty E winds while SENJ
Discussion: Isaias is a strong tropical storm located just E of the SC/GA coastal border. Sustained winds were last recorded at 70mph with higher gusts. It has a small chance for slight intensification during its last breath over warm water.
Discussion: Isaias is currently just off the east coast of central Florida as a strong tropical storm. Its steering will now be heavily influenced by the trough spanning from the Great Lakes down through the TN valley. The front of
Discussion: Earlier this week we started talking about a potential tropical threat for the east coast around August 5 from what was Invest 92L. Today this system is a category 1 hurricane named Isaias heading into the Bahamas. From its
Discussion: This weekend we will have a small developing ridge over the E US which won’t fully establish until Sunday. Today our rain is pushing away to the SE of NJ and conditions should improve during PM hours tonight (Friday).
Discussion: The upper-jet should stay to the N of NJ through Tuesday before dipping over NJ for Wednesday-Sunday. After Sunday it should return to the N of NJ for continued hazy, hot and humid ridging. So Monday and Tuesday should
Discussion: Today will offer a small break in temperature but not so much humidity. This is associated with the tip of a narrow progressive trough swinging through the NE US. After that it’s back to upper-level ridging under (to the
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