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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Long-Range WeatherTrends360 Outlook

Long-Range WeatherTrends360 Outlook

🕔23:33, 3.Sep 2020

It’s time to harness WeatherTrends360 technology and look at how the rest of September 2020 should play out. WeatherTrends360 algorithms are documented with an 84% verification rate and are based on oceanic water cycles, time table series and very complex

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A Gorgeous Holiday Weekend (Sept 4-7)

A Gorgeous Holiday Weekend (Sept 4-7)

🕔23:10, 3.Sep 2020

Discussion: The upper jet should stay just to the N of NJ through this weekend and into next week before forming a meridional pattern by mid-next week. 500mb analysis indicates average heights until a ridge backs in, off the Atlantic

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Unsettled Conditions (Aug 31-Sept 4)

Unsettled Conditions (Aug 31-Sept 4)

🕔15:54, 31.Aug 2020

Discussion: Upper-level flow will be heavily influenced by a SE US ridge between Bermuda and the mainland. The N jet should remain zonal but press against the SE US ridge’s N anti-cyclonic flow. The pattern doesn’t hint at becoming meridional

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Rough Start. Beautiful Finish (Aug 28-30)

Rough Start. Beautiful Finish (Aug 28-30)

🕔12:27, 28.Aug 2020

Discussion: The upper-jet looks very flat and zonal this weekend. Upper-level geopotential heights look average to slightly-below average. While boring aloft, the lower-levels/surface conditions should respond as follows. Today we have the leading edge of unsettledness beginning by late-afternoon/early-evening. This

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Aug 26: Weekend Impacts from Hurricane Laura

Aug 26: Weekend Impacts from Hurricane Laura

🕔14:11, 26.Aug 2020

Discussion: Laura is a category 4 (major) hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico heading for a landfall just on the LA side of the TX/LA gulf coast border later this evening. There’s actually a small chance of reaching category 5

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Aug 25: Storm Front Approaching

Aug 25: Storm Front Approaching

🕔13:28, 25.Aug 2020

Discussion: New Jersey is currently on the W (back) side of a trough that is primarily developing over SE Canada and NE US. A small upper-level disturbance is rounding the back-side of this trough which is enhancing the jet streak

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Mixed Conditions (Aug 24-28)

Mixed Conditions (Aug 24-28)

🕔15:14, 24.Aug 2020

Discussion: Let’s first talk about the setup for NJ before we talk about the tropics. We currently have a progressive trough swinging through the NE US. It’s nose will push through the N Mid-Atlantic US (NJ) on Tuesday which could

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Summery Conditions (Aug 21-23)

Summery Conditions (Aug 21-23)

🕔13:25, 21.Aug 2020

Discussion: We have two upper-jets involved in this weekend’s pattern. The southern jet has formed a trough over the general interior SE US. The northern jet is a bit more zonal and should eventually take over as the primary for

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Long-Range WeatherTrends360 Outlook

Long-Range WeatherTrends360 Outlook

🕔12:17, 17.Aug 2020

It’s time to harness WeatherTrends360 technology and look at how the rest of August 2020 should play out as well as an early look at the first half of September 2020. WeatherTrends360 algorithms are documented with an 84% verification rate

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More Mixed Conditions (Aug 17-21)

More Mixed Conditions (Aug 17-21)

🕔23:44, 16.Aug 2020

Discussion: A shallow but sharp trough will swing through the region for the first half of the week. NJ will see SW flow aloft for Monday into Tuesday then NW flow aloft for Wednesday into Thursday. By Friday it’s back

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