Discussion: A weak and transient ridge should build over the Mid-Atlantic and NorthEast US between Monday and Wednesday. This should produce milder temperatures at the surface with light SW winds. A cold front is then expected to pass through later
Discussion: The upper pattern looks very meridional in foreseeable model guidance. While nothing specific is currently showing, I’d be surprised if a synoptic scale system didn’t materialize for the Mid-Atlantic US, whether just a baby coastal low or stronger nor’easter.
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Discussion: For the next few days we’ll be stuck in a warm sector formed by high pressure out in the Atlantic and the approaching trough. The high will kick in warm and humid return flow. The front of the trough
Discussion: For this weekend there’s not much to speak of other than a weakening upper-level disturbance floating through the return flow of departing high pressure. For these reasons, Saturday and Sunday could feature some very isolated rain showers but not
Discussion: High pressure, in general, will continue to dominate the Mid-Atlantic US weather pattern this week. This means dry sinking air region-wide and ultimately pleasant and sunny at the surface. As high pressure drifts around the E US we’ll see
Discussion: We’ll see some of the coolest air of the late-year so far this weekend. Complete high pressure dominance from Friday PM well into next week. This means lower temperatures and comfortable humidity levels. I wouldn’t be surprised to see
Discussion: There’s nothing much to talk about in the upper levels. Just some zonal W flow for most of the week. The primary drivers of NJ’s weather pattern will be two areas of high pressure. They will both originate from
Discussion: The tropics are on fire, as they should be this time of year. There are 4 systems currently being tracked by the National Hurricane Center. Two of them look to remain out to sea (Paulette and Rene – as
Discussion: The upper-jet should stay to the N of NJ this weekend. 500mb geopotential heights should back in from the E/NE and build over the E US—flexing ~Thursday AM before upper-flow becomes more W/NW instead of W/SW. This should produce
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