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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Holy Crap it’s Hot!

Holy Crap it’s Hot!

🕔13:00, 21.Jun 2024

Discussion: The highly anomalous E US ridge has peaked and is now slowly decaying. During this decay (this weekend), NJ should reach the hottest temperatures and highest humidity levels of this entire heat wave. Because of this, the National Weather

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New Jersey Prepared to Bake

New Jersey Prepared to Bake

🕔12:19, 17.Jun 2024

Discussion: As Glenn Frey once sang, “The heat is on!” The summer solstice is days away and we’re experiencing peak sun angle/hours of daylight from now through the 4th of July. Before I jump into a rather simple “hazy, hot,

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Thunderstorms Break the Humidity. For Now.

Thunderstorms Break the Humidity. For Now.

🕔14:17, 14.Jun 2024

Discussion: Since we’re starting off with a stormfront, the weekend outlook will be in article format. First, we’ll cover this evening’s storms then we’ll get into the rest of the weekend and the longer-range foreseeable pattern. The small and transient

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Thunderstorm Front Detected

Thunderstorm Front Detected

🕔16:27, 13.Jun 2024

Discussion: In a surprise to no one, it’s starting to get hot out. The first day of calendar summer approaches along with the summer solstice. We finally turned the corner into a summer-like ridge pattern and that looks to dominate

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Pleasant becomes Hot and Stormy

Pleasant becomes Hot and Stormy

🕔17:00, 10.Jun 2024

Discussion: Over the next few days, from now (Monday) through Wednesday, the upper-level trough that has dominated our weather pattern will break down over the E US. This will allow for a few more pleasant-feeling days (warm but lower humidity).

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Refreshing Air Mass Settles In

Refreshing Air Mass Settles In

🕔17:18, 7.Jun 2024

Discussion: A cold front has pushed through early this morning, knocking dew point temperatures down into the upper-50s/near-60. You probably noticed the increase in comfort/feel today (Friday) compared to yesterday (Thursday) when dews were near-70 (sticky). Temperatures are still warm

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Return to an Unsettled Pattern

Return to an Unsettled Pattern

🕔12:16, 3.Jun 2024

Discussion: I wish I could have bottled the conditions this past Friday and Saturday because it doesn’t get much better in NJ than that. We’ll now return to more of an unsettled pattern as lower geopotential heights dominate our region

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Gorgeous Conditions. Sunday PM Caveat.

Gorgeous Conditions. Sunday PM Caveat.

🕔14:03, 31.May 2024

Discussion: 250mb wind analysis indicates loose upper jets across the country which I would call inconclusive for NJ prognostication. Stepping down to 500mb heights, a weak ridge is forming over the Great Lakes while NJ sees the backside of a

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Great Conditions Settle In

Great Conditions Settle In

🕔15:40, 28.May 2024

Discussion: After a very pleasant and comfortable Monday, lower height fields will move over NJ to make for only a slightly-unsettled Wednesday into Thursday (nice conditions most of the day but afternoon/evening isolated showers and boomers possible). Once the trough

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Memorial Day Weekend Outlook

Memorial Day Weekend Outlook

🕔14:12, 23.May 2024

Discussion: First, a moment of silence and respect for those who have fallen while serving and protecting our great country and way of life. The upper-levels look fairly mundane this weekend with no anomalous geopotential heights in either direction. We’re

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