Feb 1: Winter Storm Update
Discussion: This is quite a winter storm. I’m upgrading NNJ to DUDE WHERE’S MY CAR? status. There’s no doubt in my mind that areas up that way exceed 24” of total storm snow accumulation in many spots. Some of you
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Posts From Jonathan Carr
Jan 30: Major Winter Storm Approaching
Discussion: I’m going to break this winter storm into three phases of expectations. Phase I: Precipitation is currently approaching from the W. It’s just now getting into the Kentucky/Indiana/Ohio area and starting to build the initial snow thump expected for
Jan 29: Snow Storm a GO!
Discussion: I’m sorry but no map yet. There is still significant uncertainty as to where the exact jackpot axis of snowfall is going to set up through NJ and ultimately where the NW cutoff and SE snow/rain line will be.
Jan 28: Winter Storm Chances Increasing
Discussion: The coastal storm that missed us to the S (bringing a swath of snow through parts of NC/VA) has departed well into the Atlantic Ocean. The backside of this cyclonic flow has pulled down more cold from the available
Jan 26: Active Pattern Continues
Discussion: The weak wave has just about passed. Just another small batch of light precip is expected to move through NNJ later tonight and taper off by early Wednesday AM hours. The primary low involved in the generally weak transfer
Jan 25: Light Wintry Event Approaching
Discussion: Precipitation just ahead of a warm front (currently over KY/WV/VA) is moving in from our SW. It should first move into SWNJ anytime after sundown tonight as snow and then try to spread into SENJ and maybe even CNJ
Jan 24: Snow Update
Discussion: This map and discussion might seem unnecessary for a minor snow event. But there will be multiple forms of wintry precipitation capable of impacting travel and safety this Monday night through most of Tuesday. With that said, let’s focus
Jan 23: Tracking Two Wintry Systems
Discussion: We currently have high pressure (anti-cyclonic flow) to our W and low pressure (cyclonic flow) to our E. This is producing a tight N to S pressure gradient (strong N/NW flow) and tapping Arctic air mass over Canada. For
Jan 22: Winter Storm Detected
Discussion: A shot of Arctic air will move in from the NW starting tonight and will linger until Sunday. This should keep most, if not all, of NJ below freezing during this period. NNJ elevations and maybe Pine Barrens down
Colder Conditions (Jan 18-22)
Discussion: Tonight should start a prolonged colder pattern for NJ. Nothing record breaking, just colder. It should already feel colder today than the warm sector air mass we saw earlier this weekend. This week should behave like a V graph
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