Discussion: Nothing noteworthy in the upper levels for this weekend. The main player will be an area of high pressure slowly tracking from Ohio, over the N Mid-Atlantic US, and out into the Atlantic Ocean. It’s a good time to
Discussion: We should remain in a cooler pattern with temperatures below-average for another week. The Mid-Atlantic US, and most of the EC, cannot escape the relentless progressive trough pattern. At the very least this keeps us cool but also unsettled
Discussion: The upper-jet should stay close over NJ for the next week or so. This should keep geopotential heights anomalies near-average outside of a weak system on Friday. That will pull down some lower heights temporarily for Friday into early
Discussion: An unorganized synoptic system is passing by to our N tonight (Thursday night) through tomorrow (Friday AM). We’re in the warm sector now, closer to the low, which is why our skies are mild and cloudy with a few
Discussion: We’ll spend much of this week to the S of the upper-jet (in a ridge). Only the nose of a progressive trough should then swing through between Friday night and Sunday morning before ridging returns for next week. With
Discussion: The positive axis trough pattern is about to end for the E US. It’s been relentlessly holding us slightly below average in temperature and in some cases (like last night/today) well below average. The 250mb jet should make its
Discussion: We’ve had a nice run of non-disruptive weather conditions. Tomorrow (Wednesday) that will likely come to an end with a stormy frontal passage. Low pressure will track through PA into New England (just to the NW of NJ) on
Discussion: The upper level pattern of repeating positive-axis troughs, swinging from central Canada through the E US, will continue this week. Tuesday looks like the mildest day of the week from SW flow culmination ahead of the cold front. Wednesday
Discussion: Lower 500mb heights should continue to dominate the pattern with trough after trough swinging down and in from central Canada through the US. Because the troughs feature a positive axis, nothing big can really spin up. It does however
Discussion: The upper levels this week have a very unsettled look. 500mb geopotential height anomalies should alternate between near-average to below-average. This means a lower general atmosphere (cooler aloft) which allows milder rising air and moisture (from higher-angle diurnal surface
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