Back to homepage

Posts From Jonathan Carr

Summer Not Wasting Time

Summer Not Wasting Time

🕔15:18, 17.Jun 2021

Discussion: This weekend looks pretty summery. Upper-level flow out of the NW and lower-level flow out of the SW. That’s a recipe for warmth and humidity but not scorching temps. We’re talking about highs in the mid-to-upper 80s (some lower-90s

Read Full Article
Stormy Start then Improvement

Stormy Start then Improvement

🕔10:04, 14.Jun 2021

Discussion: We start out unsettled this week as a cold front drags through between Monday PM and Tuesday AM. This could bring strong-to-severe criteria thunderstorms to the region later today/tonight. Once that clears, the rest of the week will be

Read Full Article
Slightly Unsettled

Slightly Unsettled

🕔11:46, 11.Jun 2021

Discussion: This weekend and next 10-day stretch or so appear similar. A generally unsettled period. I’m seeing a lot of lower geopotential height activity over the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast US. A few progressive troughs in the NE US/SE Canada region

Read Full Article
Mixed Conditions

Mixed Conditions

🕔11:08, 7.Jun 2021

Discussion: High pressure should remain parked over Bermuda until at least Wednesday night. This will keep the SW flow in place over NJ from the return flow of the Bermuda high. This should make for hazy, hot, and humid conditions

Read Full Article
Heat Wave Detected

Heat Wave Detected

🕔11:35, 4.Jun 2021

Discussion: A very thin and progressive upper-level trough is moving through today (Friday) in the wake of the departing Thursday PM convergent-driven rainfall. This will keep conditions cloudy and unsettled for Friday while the upper-jet is still wrapped around the

Read Full Article
Memorial Day Weekend Outlook

Memorial Day Weekend Outlook

🕔01:12, 28.May 2021

Discussion: This is not a good overall weekend outlook. Monday is looking like the best day of the holiday period. Friday-Sunday is just ugh. So high pressure in SE Canada is currently tracking from just N of the Great Lakes

Read Full Article
May 26: Watching PM Thunderstorms

May 26: Watching PM Thunderstorms

🕔12:19, 26.May 2021

Discussion: No surprises on today being the hottest and most humid day of the week. We’ve got warm sector S/SW flow at most lower-mid levels pumping in humid air mass while the near-highest sun-angle of the year heats up the

Read Full Article
Mixed Conditions (May 24-28)

Mixed Conditions (May 24-28)

🕔09:32, 24.May 2021

Discussion: Areas of high pressure continue to dominate our pattern. A high is currently tracking from just N of the Great Lakes towards the Atlantic Ocean (over Cape Cod area). This will start everyone out with onshore flow (over 60-degree

Read Full Article
The Heat is On (May 21-23)

The Heat is On (May 21-23)

🕔23:35, 20.May 2021

Discussion: High pressure continues to dominate the E US setup in a prolonged upper-level ridge pattern. We’re going to see high pressure retrograde off the Atlantic Ocean Friday and make it as far W as Missouri on Saturday (rare). This

Read Full Article
Warm Conditions (May 17-21)

Warm Conditions (May 17-21)

🕔13:45, 16.May 2021

Discussion: This entire week looks like a ridge building pattern for NJ and much of the east coast. The 250mb jet should be positioned just to our NE coming down from Canada. Therefore, the 250mb S flow of the jet

Read Full Article