Discussion: That was some weekend. Henri’s primary winds missed NJ and instead hit coastal New England before moving through CT into NY State. New Jersey never saw the destructive winds. The surprise was rainfall amounts. I thought for sure that
Discussion: Henri is a category 1 hurricane now at OBX latitude about 350 miles offshore. He will now take a slow and gradual turn to the N/NW towards Long Island and likely make landfall on Sunday as either a strong
Discussion: Henri is currently at Savannah, GA latitude and about 74W longitude. He’s made the turn to the N and is now heading N/NW. I now expect him to turn a little more to the N/NE and parallel the US
Discussion: Henri is currently a tropical storm near 30N 70W (between Bermuda and Florida – at Jacksonville, FL latitude). Henri is expected to turn to the N and follow the developing upper level ridge weakness in SE Canada on Friday.
Discussion: We have two things to talk about, Fred’s remnants and Henri’s track. Fred’s remnants are currently moving from West Virginia into SW PA. They should continue tracking NW across CPA today and then into New England Thursday into Friday.
Discussion: The cold front sure took its time Saturday PM. It wasn’t until closer to sunrise Sunday morning that dews finally dropped to the comfortable zone. And IMHO Sunday was a few degrees warmer in both temp and dew point
Weekend Discussion: This weekend overall is straightforward. We’re warm-sectored until a cold front moves through and then we’re beautiful under high pressure behind the cold front. What is extremely uncertain is the timing of the cold front. There is disagreement
Discussion: The coastal surface low cleared out yesterday for most of NJ however took it’s time leaving extreme ENJ. Some impressive rainfall totals for SENJ. Today we have an upper-level disturbance floating through but it shouldn’t produce much precipitation. Normally,
Discussion: The key upper-level change for this weekend is the dissolution of the upper-level low/trough in the E US and the establishment of a weak ridge. This will allow the troposphere to expand (positive geopotential heights) and bring back the
Discussion: New Jersey will be under an upper-level (250mb) jet streak for most of this week. The jet will be out of the SW or S/SW from the E side of a decaying trough (centered over TN/KY). High pressure will
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