Discussion: One upper-level feature to note from 250mb wind analysis is a strong coupled upper jet over NJ in the Saturday-Sunday period later this week. This could enhance the expected rainfall in that time frame. This idea aligns with the
Discussion: This weekend, a decaying ridge over the E US will give way to the bottom/backside of a trough. This will change the upper flow from a warm and humid S/SW source to a dry and comfortable/chilly at night N/NW
Discussion: I’m seeing mostly ridging this week over the E US including NJ. This will allow temps and humidity to build today and especially tomorrow before a stormfront pushes through from N to S, driven by high pressure to our
Discussion: The E side of a ridge will hold our pleasant feel in place a little longer but as the E side of a trough approaches, humidity will gradually build between Friday and Sunday night—setting the stage for a humid
Discussion: I can feel summer starting to slip away. Later sunrises. Earlier sunsets. Warmer onshore flow. Different shadows throughout the day from a lower sun-angle. It’s all there as I’ve experienced and mentally logged for decades. Soon (September), we’ll be
Discussion: For this week, we’ll be under lower geopotential heights. The trough (#1) that moved into place Saturday, eventually bringing the cooler and drier air for Sunday, is slowly departing with another trough (#2) forming and moving in right behind.
Discussion: Before we talk about Debby remnants today, a reminder that the most beautiful weekend of the summer starts in about 18-24 hours. Reasonably warm temperatures, sunny skies, refreshing breeze, and low humidity. It’s going to feel magical as reflected
Discussion: Let’s first realize that we’re only 36 hours from the most immaculate summer weather possible. When a tropical system moves through our region, they tend to scoop up and carry away regional humidity, leaving extra-dry, sunny, and comfortable feel
Discussion: The Canadian trough that pushed the frontal boundary over NJ from N to S is now clearing away to the E into the N Atlantic Ocean. The frontal boundary is currently (as of noon Wednesday) draped across Cape May,
Discussion: With the expected storms today/tonight and remnant impacts from Debby later this weekend, we’re switching to article mode rather than the typical weekly outlook. I’ve been away for the past few days. If you can believe it, my daughter
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