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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Relief!

Relief!

🕔13:27, 19.Jul 2021

Discussion: This week we’ll see average to just below-average geopotential heights. The stubborn W US ridge will really flex this week forcing troughing in the E US. Therefore, we’re cooler and drier this week in the E US but still

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Hot and Unsettled

Hot and Unsettled

🕔12:31, 15.Jul 2021

Discussion: Higher geopotential heights with an upper-jet to our N (thanks to the Bermuda high return flow) should control the pattern to start this weekend. At the surface, NJ will be warm-sectored Friday and Saturday. This means relentless humidity and

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A Triple H Week

A Triple H Week

🕔10:41, 12.Jul 2021

Discussion:  The upper-jet will stay well to the N of NJ this week, as it commonly does with summertime ridging pumped by a Bermuda high. We’ve been stuck in a W US ridge pattern however the Bermuda high has been

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Conditions Improve. Humidity Lingers.

Conditions Improve. Humidity Lingers.

🕔11:38, 9.Jul 2021

Discussion: Elsa moved through about as expected. Overall? A widespread run-of-mill overnight rain and wind event that we’ve seen many times before. Some SENJ locations finished with close to three inches of rain while areas like NWNJ failed to reach

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Into the Unknown

Into the Unknown

🕔11:43, 8.Jul 2021

Discussion: Elsa is barely hanging onto tropical storm criteria with maximum sustained winds at 40mph with gusts to 45mph. She’s currently near the east-central border of NC/SC with rain bands extended as far N as Virginia (approaching S tip of

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Rain and Wind Never Bothered me Anyway.

Rain and Wind Never Bothered me Anyway.

🕔12:25, 7.Jul 2021

Discussion: Remnants of a once Hurricane Elsa will take a pass at New Jersey this Thursday night into Friday morning. Else originally entered the W Caribbean/Lesser Antilles, crossed some of the Caribbean Sea and tucked up into SW Florida. It’s

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There’s a Chance

There’s a Chance

🕔16:01, 30.Jun 2021

Discussion: A rather impressive upper jet should push over NJ early this weekend. This should come along the front-side of a positive axis trough that’s swinging down into our region from the N. This trough then slowly becomes neutral while

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Sticky Icky Icky

Sticky Icky Icky

🕔23:18, 27.Jun 2021

Discussion:  June is going to finish hot and sticky for NJ. Meteorologically we have a ridge in the NW US and NE US. A weak trough currently sits in the central US. You might have heard about the record heat

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Another Heat Wave

Another Heat Wave

🕔23:27, 24.Jun 2021

Discussion: A ridge will begin flexing over the North East and Mid-Atlantic US this weekend. It might be Thursday before it relaxes. This ridge will be driven into by high pressure stubbornly hugging the Bermuda area. At the surface in

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Stormy Start. Improvement by Mid-Week.

Stormy Start. Improvement by Mid-Week.

🕔11:40, 21.Jun 2021

Discussion: The front side of an approaching upper-level trough should keep the region unsettled today and tomorrow surrounding a cold front passage at the surface. Today (Monday) we should feel the heat and humidity build in the core of the

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