Stormy and Muggy
Discussion: The cold front sure took its time Saturday PM. It wasn’t until closer to sunrise Sunday morning that dews finally dropped to the comfortable zone. And IMHO Sunday was a few degrees warmer in both temp and dew point
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Posts From Jonathan Carr
Hot Stormy Start then Improvement.
Weekend Discussion: This weekend overall is straightforward. We’re warm-sectored until a cold front moves through and then we’re beautiful under high pressure behind the cold front. What is extremely uncertain is the timing of the cold front. There is disagreement
Tropical Feel
Discussion: The coastal surface low cleared out yesterday for most of NJ however took it’s time leaving extreme ENJ. Some impressive rainfall totals for SENJ. Today we have an upper-level disturbance floating through but it shouldn’t produce much precipitation. Normally,
Heat and Humidity Return
Discussion: The key upper-level change for this weekend is the dissolution of the upper-level low/trough in the E US and the establishment of a weak ridge. This will allow the troposphere to expand (positive geopotential heights) and bring back the
Great Start. Unsettled Finish.
Discussion: New Jersey will be under an upper-level (250mb) jet streak for most of this week. The jet will be out of the SW or S/SW from the E side of a decaying trough (centered over TN/KY). High pressure will
Improvement!
Discussion: That was some evening of severe weather last night! The National Weather Service at Mount Holly, NJ will be investigating several areas today where tornados likely touched down across parts of CNJ and SNJ. It was probably the tornado
Thunderstorms Approaching!
Discussion: So far this morning’s warm frontal passage has been less than impressive. I woke up to a nice downpour in Ocean County but overall, precipitation has been lighter and there haven’t been any embedded thunderstorms with the first part
Tomorrow Looks Stormy
Discussion: Outside of a few possible isolated pop-ups (along sea breeze, etc.), we should remain mostly dry today. Temps are maxing in the low-to-mid 80s. Humidity is a little stickier in SENJ than NWNJ but overall manageable. We should also
Mixed Conditions
Discussion: The 250mb upper jet is going to be over NJ for the next week or so as it rounds the top of the W US ridging and forces lower geopotential heights for the E US. This should nose a
Great Start. Unsettled Finish.
Discussion: The bottom of a very positive axis trough is currently overhead and will dominate much of the Friday-Saturday pattern with NW flow aloft. Upper-level flow will return to more of a W/NW direction once geopotential heights relax after the
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