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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Summery Conditions

Summery Conditions

🕔14:30, 13.Sep 2021

Discussion: A prolonged series of ridging should establish over the E US over the next 10 days or so. This will keep temps slightly warmer than average with above-average humidity. We should see several thunderstorms chances in this period. Not

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A True Early Taste of Fall

A True Early Taste of Fall

🕔13:40, 9.Sep 2021

Discussion: Despite what you might have read online, the rain and thunderstorms last night into today were associated with a typical slow moving cold front attached to a low tracking through Canada, and reinforced by weak low pressure sliding along

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A Nice Stretch of Weather

A Nice Stretch of Weather

🕔11:59, 7.Sep 2021

Discussion: Tuesday should be another great day like Monday. Wednesday we’ll see humidity build a little and then rain and thunderstorms likely Wednesday afternoon into early Thursday AM (slow moving cold front). This front could bring flash flooding rainfall and

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Much Improvement!

Much Improvement!

🕔14:38, 2.Sep 2021

Discussion: Last night was just crazy. It rained like the Book of Genesis in NNJ/CNJ and the scariest NJ tornado imagery I’ve seen yet came out of SWNJ/WCNJ. SENJ was very lucky to not experience the funky tropical cyclone remnant

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Ida Remnants Approaching NJ

Ida Remnants Approaching NJ

🕔11:52, 31.Aug 2021

Discussion: Ida has absorbed into the approaching trough and developing front. It is now well on its way into extra-tropical transition which means it is now a cold core mid-latitude cyclone, with frontal boundaries developing, rather than a warm core

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Great Weather on the Horizon

Great Weather on the Horizon

🕔12:28, 30.Aug 2021

Discussion: Words cannot describe some of the imagery and hardship coming out of Louisiana after yesterday’s category 4 landfall. It hurts to think about. If I can help anyone in any way down there, please let me know. Out thoughts

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Tracking Ida’s Remnants for NJ

Tracking Ida’s Remnants for NJ

🕔17:04, 28.Aug 2021

Discussion: Ida is a major hurricane (now category 3) in the middle of the Gulf of Mexico, where the water is warmest and the shear has reduced. It’s nothing but a favorable environment for further intensification, possibly into a category

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More Unsettled Muggy Conditions

More Unsettled Muggy Conditions

🕔13:59, 26.Aug 2021

Weekend Discussion: Our weekend NJ weather pattern will be governed mostly by upper-level ridging in the E US under an upper-jet stream far to the N of NJ. At the surface this means more 90s Friday but not as warm

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Conditions to Improve

Conditions to Improve

🕔13:30, 23.Aug 2021

Discussion: That was some weekend. Henri’s primary winds missed NJ and instead hit coastal New England before moving through CT into NY State. New Jersey never saw the destructive winds. The surprise was rainfall amounts. I thought for sure that

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Fringe Impact Only from Henri

Fringe Impact Only from Henri

🕔15:13, 21.Aug 2021

Discussion: Henri is a category 1 hurricane now at OBX latitude about 350 miles offshore. He will now take a slow and gradual turn to the N/NW towards Long Island and likely make landfall on Sunday as either a strong

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