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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Volatile Conditions Continue

Volatile Conditions Continue

🕔12:09, 19.Nov 2021

Discussion: High pressure is currently approaching behind the cold front. This will reinforce a colder and windy flow for Friday and colder calm day Saturday. By Sunday the high should be over the ocean which will reverse the flow to

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Mixed Conditions

Mixed Conditions

🕔11:58, 15.Nov 2021

Discussion: You all felt the cold front that came through Saturday night. That there was lightning and hail was a strong indicator of how cold the mid-to-upper levels of the atmosphere are becoming. It didn’t require much lift for moisture

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Transitional Conditions

Transitional Conditions

🕔16:03, 11.Nov 2021

Discussion: First, a thank you to all who have served our country! A low pressure system has pulled off the upper-jet with an occlusion at the surface. As this low tracks from the Great Lakes into SE Canada, it will

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Mostly Nice Conditions

Mostly Nice Conditions

🕔22:41, 7.Nov 2021

Discussion: Low pressure is currently offshore but high pressure remains over NJ. A series of high pressure areas should produce a dry and comfortable Monday-Thursday this week. Mostly NW quadrant flow with lower dews but with a milder feel. Low

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Cool and Dry

Cool and Dry

🕔15:07, 5.Nov 2021

Discussion: We have some unorganized low pressure in the nearby Atlantic Ocean that should fail to reach the NJ coast this weekend. It might keep ECNJ/SENJ cloudier than the rest of NJ at times…or perhaps you might just see the

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Colder Air Arriving

Colder Air Arriving

🕔14:17, 1.Nov 2021

Discussion: A trough will spill into our region this week. The trough will have a positive axis with a progressive upper-level flow out of the W/SW for NJ. This flow will prevent any synoptic systems from wrapping up for our

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Rainstorm Approaching

Rainstorm Approaching

🕔12:58, 29.Oct 2021

Discussion: The surface low is currently over the ~W Kentucky area and should continue to track NE up the Appalachian Mountain chain between now and Sunday morning. Conditions should deteriorate soon, especially for SNJ, as the leading edge of precipitation

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Another Rainstorm Approaches

Another Rainstorm Approaches

🕔15:46, 28.Oct 2021

Discussion: A second synoptic-scale weather system will impact NJ to start this weekend. Therefore, we’ll just go with a discussion article format as the general weekend outlook for now. I’ll likely update tomorrow ahead of the first drops and make

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Crappy at Times

Crappy at Times

🕔15:10, 24.Oct 2021

Discussion: Overnight lows should fall and then halt tonight (Sunday night) as S flow takes over. This could initially present some fog but otherwise should produce a milder feel for tomorrow (Monday). We’re going to see two areas of upper-level

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Cooler Conditions

Cooler Conditions

🕔14:34, 22.Oct 2021

Discussion: A mostly dry frontal passage came through overnight…a few sprinkles here and there. This has lowered temps and humidity some for today. Still a beautiful day today but tonight we’ll step down colder. The upper-level disturbance I’ve been tracking

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