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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Cold with Light Snow Possible

Cold with Light Snow Possible

🕔22:23, 26.Nov 2021

Discussion: We can certainly feel the pressure gradient tonight between the NE US departing low and SE US approaching high. Stiff flow out of the W/NW and that’s making it feel colder than it already really is. This is the

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Tracking Late-Weekend Snow

Tracking Late-Weekend Snow

🕔15:03, 24.Nov 2021

Discussion: Real quick, we can expect more temperature moderation today through tomorrow with dry conditions for the holiday and related travel. Should feel quite nice for this time of year. This is because of high pressure drifting through the S

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Great for Travel

Great for Travel

🕔11:17, 22.Nov 2021

Discussion: Some solid upper-level trough features should push through the E US over the next week or so. Most of it looks cold and clear with just two frontal systems moving through. The first one is just clearing through this

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Volatile Conditions Continue

Volatile Conditions Continue

🕔12:09, 19.Nov 2021

Discussion: High pressure is currently approaching behind the cold front. This will reinforce a colder and windy flow for Friday and colder calm day Saturday. By Sunday the high should be over the ocean which will reverse the flow to

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Mixed Conditions

Mixed Conditions

🕔11:58, 15.Nov 2021

Discussion: You all felt the cold front that came through Saturday night. That there was lightning and hail was a strong indicator of how cold the mid-to-upper levels of the atmosphere are becoming. It didn’t require much lift for moisture

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Transitional Conditions

Transitional Conditions

🕔16:03, 11.Nov 2021

Discussion: First, a thank you to all who have served our country! A low pressure system has pulled off the upper-jet with an occlusion at the surface. As this low tracks from the Great Lakes into SE Canada, it will

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Mostly Nice Conditions

Mostly Nice Conditions

🕔22:41, 7.Nov 2021

Discussion: Low pressure is currently offshore but high pressure remains over NJ. A series of high pressure areas should produce a dry and comfortable Monday-Thursday this week. Mostly NW quadrant flow with lower dews but with a milder feel. Low

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Cool and Dry

Cool and Dry

🕔15:07, 5.Nov 2021

Discussion: We have some unorganized low pressure in the nearby Atlantic Ocean that should fail to reach the NJ coast this weekend. It might keep ECNJ/SENJ cloudier than the rest of NJ at times…or perhaps you might just see the

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Colder Air Arriving

Colder Air Arriving

🕔14:17, 1.Nov 2021

Discussion: A trough will spill into our region this week. The trough will have a positive axis with a progressive upper-level flow out of the W/SW for NJ. This flow will prevent any synoptic systems from wrapping up for our

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Rainstorm Approaching

Rainstorm Approaching

🕔12:58, 29.Oct 2021

Discussion: The surface low is currently over the ~W Kentucky area and should continue to track NE up the Appalachian Mountain chain between now and Sunday morning. Conditions should deteriorate soon, especially for SNJ, as the leading edge of precipitation

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