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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Higher Winds Approaching

Higher Winds Approaching

🕔14:35, 11.Dec 2021

Discussion: I’m seeing a lot of speculation and fear about the frontal system expected for New Jersey later this evening. Yes, it’s true that this frontal system was part of the tornadic outbreak in the South-Central US last night. But

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Mild Conditions Expected

Mild Conditions Expected

🕔15:41, 9.Dec 2021

Discussion: We’re looking at a gradual warmup from today (Thursday through Friday) then a sharp warmup Saturday ahead of another frontal system Saturday night. Colder conditions should then move in for Sunday but the overall pattern looks very mild next

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Conversational Snow Still Possible

Conversational Snow Still Possible

🕔15:28, 7.Dec 2021

Discussion: What was once modeled as a 6-12” event across EPA and NWNJ (5 days ago) has evolved into not much at all. First it trended colder and further S into CNJ and SNJ. But now it’s looking mostly like

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Wednesday Snow a Go in NJ

Wednesday Snow a Go in NJ Updated

🕔16:40, 6.Dec 2021

Discussion: As expected, we’re warm, cloudy, and breezy out of the S/SE today. We’ll stay this way until rain pushes through, from NW to SE, later tonight into tomorrow morning. Behind this rain will be colder conditions with stiff winds

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Snow Chances Increasing

Snow Chances Increasing

🕔14:53, 5.Dec 2021

Discussion: We’re pretty much warm-sectored by the low tracking through the Great Lakes into SE Canada. That low will eventually drag a cold front through NJ Monday night-Tuesday morning. But until then, expect mild conditions. Today’s probably the last sunny

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Discussing Wednesday Snow

Discussing Wednesday Snow

🕔15:09, 4.Dec 2021

Discussion: Not much to talk about for this weekend. High temps today are ranging from mid-40s to lower-50s from N to S. Tomorrow, a few degrees colder but dry like today. A mixed bag of sun and clouds throughout. Perfect

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Mixed Conditions

Mixed Conditions

🕔11:29, 29.Nov 2021

Discussion: The W US should see a prolonged ridge setup this week.  Downstream, the E US should see a series of quick-swinging troughs pass through. With no high latitude blocking in the N Atlantic, any surface systems will be quick

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Cold with Light Snow Possible

Cold with Light Snow Possible

🕔22:23, 26.Nov 2021

Discussion: We can certainly feel the pressure gradient tonight between the NE US departing low and SE US approaching high. Stiff flow out of the W/NW and that’s making it feel colder than it already really is. This is the

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Tracking Late-Weekend Snow

Tracking Late-Weekend Snow

🕔15:03, 24.Nov 2021

Discussion: Real quick, we can expect more temperature moderation today through tomorrow with dry conditions for the holiday and related travel. Should feel quite nice for this time of year. This is because of high pressure drifting through the S

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Great for Travel

Great for Travel

🕔11:17, 22.Nov 2021

Discussion: Some solid upper-level trough features should push through the E US over the next week or so. Most of it looks cold and clear with just two frontal systems moving through. The first one is just clearing through this

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