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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Snowstorm Approaching New Jersey

Snowstorm Approaching New Jersey

🕔14:40, 6.Jan 2022

Discussion: Our snowstorm is approaching New Jersey and will soon be here. As we’ve always been advertising, this is a quick mover with no blocking to slow it down. However, we have some powerful upper and mid-level dynamics that should

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Snow Targeting CNJ/SNJ Friday

Snow Targeting CNJ/SNJ Friday

🕔16:40, 5.Jan 2022

Discussion: The data continues to point towards a significant snow storm in New Jersey SE of the NJTP/I-95 corridor. Even though this system is still capable of delivering more of a widespread/statewide snowfall, amounts NW of the corridor look light.

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Another Snowstorm Detected

Another Snowstorm Detected

🕔14:24, 4.Jan 2022

Discussion: I’ve taken the KABOOM profile pic (white circle) down, For many new faces, KABOOM is the term I like to use when 12 inches of snow happen in any part of NJ. Sometimes it’s confined to either NNJ, CNJ,

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Southern NJ Digs Out. Watching Friday.

Southern NJ Digs Out. Watching Friday.

🕔22:08, 3.Jan 2022

Discussion: As today’s SNJ system departs further into the Atlantic Ocean, another system is moving onshore in the NW US off the Pacific. Over the next 3 days, this energy should travel across the US and pick up energy from

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Winter Storm Approaching Southern and Central New Jersey

Winter Storm Approaching Southern and Central New Jersey Updated

🕔14:40, 2.Jan 2022

Discussion: To review, our mild and rainy period is coming to an end today/tonight. The low-pressure series that brought us our rain these last few days is pulling away and will drop temperatures overnight tonight with back-side cyclonic flow out

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Monday SNJ Snow Chances Increasing

Monday SNJ Snow Chances Increasing

🕔21:59, 1.Jan 2022

Discussion: I wanted to wait until the 00Z NAM run tonight (just ran) before putting out today’s article. And I’m glad I did. The GFS has always led the way with this system as the most aggressive (snowiest outcome) model.

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Monday Snow Update

Monday Snow Update

🕔14:24, 31.Dec 2021

Discussion: As far as this weekend goes, we still look mild and rainy in New Jersey…tonight (Friday night – New Years Eve) through Sunday night. For Saturday and Sunday, afternoon temps should range from lower-50s to upper-50s from NWNJ elevations

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Still Watching Monday for Snow

Still Watching Monday for Snow

🕔20:52, 30.Dec 2021

Discussion: The chances for snow in New Jersey on Monday continue to increase. I’ve been interested in this synoptic signal for some time now, specifically the modeled teleconnections (NAO, AO, and PNA). The NAO and AO are modeled to sharply

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Mild/Wet Rest of the Week. Watching Monday.

Mild/Wet Rest of the Week. Watching Monday.

🕔15:16, 28.Dec 2021

Discussion: Conditions should remain mundane (for December) through this weekend. Above-average temperatures and wet at times. 250mb jet analysis indicates a very zonal patten across the US meaning flat and lateral. This allows some weak surface lows to track W

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A Mild, Possibly Wet, Christmas

A Mild, Possibly Wet, Christmas

🕔15:05, 23.Dec 2021

Discussion: A zonal upper-level pattern should fluctuate N and S of NJ over the next week or so as heights respond appropriately with transient troughs and ridges. At the surface this means the volatile conditions should continue. A few days

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