Mixed Conditions
Discussion: It will take most of Monday for the deep cold E US trough to transition away but then ridging is expected to build and linger Tuesday through Friday morning. At the surface we have high pressure moving over the
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Posts From Jonathan Carr
Major Winter Storm Hits New Jersey
Discussion: A major winter storm hit New Jersey yesterday and today (January 28-29, 2022). While it was only a light-to-significant event for some NJ areas, it absolutely KABOOMED ECNJ/SENJ with a widespread 12-18 inch snowfall. It started with a few
Major Winter Storm Approaching New Jersey
Discussion: A major winter storm is knocking on New Jersey’s door. Some lighter stuff has already fallen today and it looks like things are going to kick off in SWNJ/SNJ very soon. Let’s break the final forecast discussion (before live
New Jersey Winter Storm Forming
Discussion: Okay, we’ve seen enough. It’s time to get ready for this coastal winter storm. Let’s break this forecast discussion into the following categories: Trends and Observations The models have all shifted W since yesterday’s update. Most models by a
Winter Storm a Go
Discussion: Models have continued to shift E with their surface output (how much snow falls and where). However the upper-levels indicate that the shift is not exactly as far E as you would think. Some models, like the GFS and
Winter Storm Chances Increasing
Discussion: The potential for a major NJ snowstorm this weekend has not gone away. The general period of interest is Friday night through much, if not all, of Saturday. Let’s discuss what has happened in the last 24-hours. Last night’s
Major Winter Storm Possible
Discussion: The focus this week will be on the potential major winter storm this Saturday. Model guidance continues to trend towards a KABOOM storm system riding up the coast. But we’re not there yet. There’s still some time to continue
Cold Conditions Continue
Discussion: Flurries, maybe even some snow showers are possible from now through tomorrow morning as low temperatures eventually range from teens to 20s from N to S. Anything from a trace to a coating is possible since anything that falls
Arctic Cold Conditions
Discussion: A disappointing turnout this morning if you love snow. The Arctic front verified slower than all computer model guidance but is still definitely coming through. Temperatures should fall for the rest of today and especially after sunset tonight. I
Light Snow Event Approaching
Discussion: A light snow event is approaching New Jersey and should impact the Thursday AM commute. First, we will see a mild day today (Wednesday) with afternoon high temperatures reaching well into the 40s statewide. A weak wave of energy
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