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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Four Seasons. One Week.

Four Seasons. One Week.

🕔14:08, 7.Mar 2022

Discussion: Obviously, today is mild. We’re in the warm sector and a cold front is approaching. The front should push a thin line or two of downpours, gusty winds, and possibly thunderstorms this evening/tonight from W/NW to E/SE. The actual

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Warmup Coming

Warmup Coming

🕔14:14, 4.Mar 2022

Discussion: High pressure should control most of the weekend as it tracks from the Northern-Central US through the Mid-Atlantic US. Friday will be the coldest day with N winds in front of the high. Saturday a step-up day as winds

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Milder Setup on the Way

Milder Setup on the Way

🕔22:30, 28.Feb 2022

Discussion: A few weak N stream waves will track to our N this week with precipitation dissolving pretty much overhead. I suppose anything from flurries to snow showers are possible before it vanishes completely but it would need to fall

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Ice Storm Developing

Ice Storm Developing Updated

🕔16:38, 23.Feb 2022

Discussion: A winter storm is brewing for New Jersey but snow accumulations are not the headline. Parts of NNJ might see some snow to start but the primary safety concern is ice in the form of sleet and/or freezing rain.

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NNJ/CNJ Ice Storm Detected

NNJ/CNJ Ice Storm Detected

🕔15:00, 22.Feb 2022

Discussion: Models are gaining confidence on the idea of the W US trough weakening and tracking E through the Great Lakes/New England regions between Wednesday and Saturday. This would create an environment for a weak and flat surface low to

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Unsettled Week

Unsettled Week

🕔23:23, 21.Feb 2022

Discussion: The upper level jet will stay to the N of NJ for most of this week with the Mid-Atlantic US under positive 500mb height anomalies. That’s a recipe for above-average temperatures and we’ll stay mild through Wednesday. I hope

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Snow Squalls Possible Saturday

Snow Squalls Possible Saturday

🕔15:57, 18.Feb 2022

Discussion: A shallow trough will pass through the Mid-Atlantic and NorthEast US this weekend. An associated surface low will track through SE Canada and extend a cold front southward into the US. This could front should pass through NJ Saturday

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Dude Where’s my Trash Cans?

Dude Where’s my Trash Cans?

🕔00:23, 17.Feb 2022

Discussion: Ok all small human beings need to listen up. Thursday into Friday could be a rough night wind-wise. Let’s break it down into phases: Phase I: The Warm Sector Rip – NJ will be in the warm sector for

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Mixed Conditions Expected

Mixed Conditions Expected

🕔23:16, 14.Feb 2022

Discussion: Most are down into the single digits and teens already tonight. High pressure is moving through and clear skies/lighter winds will allow radiational cooling to do it’s thing. Tuesday and Tuesday night will be slightly milder than Monday but

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Light Snow Event Approaching

Light Snow Event Approaching

🕔17:10, 12.Feb 2022

Discussion: Today was the last of the warmer afternoon-spiking days. A cold front will pass through overnight which will drop temperatures below freezing for many heading into the light snow event. The data has trended a bit for the approaching

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