Back to homepage

Posts From Jonathan Carr

Winter Storm Approaching New Jersey

Winter Storm Approaching New Jersey Updated

🕔15:40, 11.Mar 2022

Discussion: A late-winter deep trough is forming for the weekend. On the front of it, a deepening surface low should bring a heavy rain to heavy snow event to New Jersey tomorrow (Saturday) due to enhanced frontogenic forcing occurring along/over

Read Full Article
Saturday Snow is a Go

Saturday Snow is a Go

🕔17:12, 10.Mar 2022

Discussion: This might be one of, if not thee, last snow storms of the season to close out Winter 2021-2022. We’re looking at two pieces of energy, one down from Canada and the other across the US from SW US.

Read Full Article
Snow Approaching

Snow Approaching

🕔13:02, 8.Mar 2022

Discussion: Last night’s cold front has blown through and we’re now cooler. We’ll drop to the 32-40 range overnight tonight (from NNJ to SNJ) as precipitation approaches and fills in statewide by daybreak Wednesday. We have a classic March snow

Read Full Article
Four Seasons. One Week.

Four Seasons. One Week.

🕔14:08, 7.Mar 2022

Discussion: Obviously, today is mild. We’re in the warm sector and a cold front is approaching. The front should push a thin line or two of downpours, gusty winds, and possibly thunderstorms this evening/tonight from W/NW to E/SE. The actual

Read Full Article
Warmup Coming

Warmup Coming

🕔14:14, 4.Mar 2022

Discussion: High pressure should control most of the weekend as it tracks from the Northern-Central US through the Mid-Atlantic US. Friday will be the coldest day with N winds in front of the high. Saturday a step-up day as winds

Read Full Article
Milder Setup on the Way

Milder Setup on the Way

🕔22:30, 28.Feb 2022

Discussion: A few weak N stream waves will track to our N this week with precipitation dissolving pretty much overhead. I suppose anything from flurries to snow showers are possible before it vanishes completely but it would need to fall

Read Full Article
Ice Storm Developing

Ice Storm Developing Updated

🕔16:38, 23.Feb 2022

Discussion: A winter storm is brewing for New Jersey but snow accumulations are not the headline. Parts of NNJ might see some snow to start but the primary safety concern is ice in the form of sleet and/or freezing rain.

Read Full Article
NNJ/CNJ Ice Storm Detected

NNJ/CNJ Ice Storm Detected

🕔15:00, 22.Feb 2022

Discussion: Models are gaining confidence on the idea of the W US trough weakening and tracking E through the Great Lakes/New England regions between Wednesday and Saturday. This would create an environment for a weak and flat surface low to

Read Full Article
Unsettled Week

Unsettled Week

🕔23:23, 21.Feb 2022

Discussion: The upper level jet will stay to the N of NJ for most of this week with the Mid-Atlantic US under positive 500mb height anomalies. That’s a recipe for above-average temperatures and we’ll stay mild through Wednesday. I hope

Read Full Article
Snow Squalls Possible Saturday

Snow Squalls Possible Saturday

🕔15:57, 18.Feb 2022

Discussion: A shallow trough will pass through the Mid-Atlantic and NorthEast US this weekend. An associated surface low will track through SE Canada and extend a cold front southward into the US. This could front should pass through NJ Saturday

Read Full Article