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Posts From Jonathan Carr

More Cool and Unsettled Conditions

More Cool and Unsettled Conditions

🕔14:11, 3.Apr 2022

Discussion: The pattern from now through about April 12 looks very similar due to a stubborn jet pattern with an active stream of disturbances. This should force a trough pattern for the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic US keeping temperatures slightly below-average

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Storm Front Approaching

Storm Front Approaching

🕔14:38, 31.Mar 2022

Discussion: The warm front is well through and you should now be feeling the ripping warm sector out of the S/SW. As a quick refresher, the Norwegian Cyclone Model is the standard meteorological model for synoptic-scale mid-latitude cyclones, like the

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Strong Winds Expected Thursday

Strong Winds Expected Thursday

🕔15:19, 30.Mar 2022

Discussion: The warm front is just about through. We’ll cool some tonight but it won’t be like the last few nights. Tomorrow looks very mild with temps likely reaching 70 or greater for most areas. Skies should be mixed with

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Thursday Still Looking Windy/Stormy

Thursday Still Looking Windy/Stormy

🕔15:39, 29.Mar 2022

Discussion: No real changes to what is expected Thursday…a windy day and stormy night. The last of this unnecessary cold air mass will clear out on Wednesday. Just need to hang in there one more cold night. By Wednesday afternoon

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High Winds Predicted Thursday

High Winds Predicted Thursday

🕔15:08, 28.Mar 2022

Discussion: Nothing has really changed for the next few days. We’ll be under the colder influence of the NW flow through Wednesday, generated by the departing trough/approaching ridge (NW winds for most levels under 250mb). Today’s the coldest day with

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Cold Start. Mild/Stormy Finish.

Cold Start. Mild/Stormy Finish.

🕔15:44, 27.Mar 2022

Discussion: Snow showers are likely today and tomorrow with below-average temperatures. It’s…it’s not ideal if you are looking forward to warm spring weather. The Great Lakes are melting after being frozen over winter and this provides a moisture tap for

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Cold Strikes Back

Cold Strikes Back

🕔00:47, 25.Mar 2022

Discussion: A trough will dominate the E US weather pattern this weekend. A not too bad Friday first with temps reaching the 60s. But Friday night through about Tuesday then looks cold and unsettled meaning isolated showers possible any day

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A Mixed Bag of Conditions

A Mixed Bag of Conditions

🕔23:05, 20.Mar 2022

Discussion: To address a few things… 1) The mobile application is currently down. I am getting away from an app-hosting company (runs hard in the red) and looking into developing my own app possibly with some of that cool weather

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Mixed but Milder

Mixed but Milder

🕔23:34, 17.Mar 2022

Discussion: A low will track from Oklahoma through the Great Lakes and into SE Canada this weekend. For NJ, this will bring a warm front through Friday, a warm sector Friday-Saturday, and a cold front through by Sunday morning. With

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Mild Conditions to Build in New Jersey

Mild Conditions to Build in New Jersey

🕔22:47, 13.Mar 2022

Discussion: Much of our next two weeks should occur under a zonal upper-level flow with positive height anomalies. High pressure should set up near Bermuda and pump SW flow into NJ Monday-Wednesday. That should take most into the 60s maybe

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