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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Cooler Start. Unsettled Finish.

Cooler Start. Unsettled Finish.

🕔11:18, 23.May 2022

Discussion: We’ll be under ridging for most of this week. A little cooler earlier in the week with the onshore flow associated with high pressure to our N. That high will then move offshore and help bring a warm front

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Summery Weekend Starts with a Bang

Summery Weekend Starts with a Bang

🕔14:30, 20.May 2022

Discussion: Thunderstorms associated with a Mesoscale Convective Vortex (MCV) are approaching NJ from the W. NENJ and ECNJ look a bit more stable but NWNJ and most of SNJ are baking in instability today. The NWS has a tornado watch

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Thunderstorms Approaching!

Thunderstorms Approaching!

🕔14:49, 16.May 2022

Discussion: A quick glance at the radar indicated that the storm front is knocking on NWNJ’s door. A few smaller cells have formed today for NJ, ahead of this storm front, but were non-severe and ended up fading out. The

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Monday Thunderstorms

Monday Thunderstorms

🕔23:09, 15.May 2022

Discussion: The bottom of a trough will swing through the Mid-Atlantic US tomorrow (Monday). That’s going to put a strong upper-jet over New Jersey in close timing with the end of peak diurnal surface heating from the sun. It should

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Warmer but Unsettled

Warmer but Unsettled

🕔00:40, 14.May 2022

Discussion: The annoying low pressure system, that tracked a loop from just SE of NJ (last weekend’s storm), towards Bermuda earlier this week, the backwards towards the SE US (last few days), is now coming up the coast as disorganized

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Conditions Improve and Warm…Finally!

Conditions Improve and Warm…Finally!

🕔09:41, 9.May 2022

Discussion: That was some crap weather this past weekend. Hopefully Sunday worked out for as many possible but wow at Friday-Saturday. There will be two noticeable themes this week. One is a gradual warming from Monday into the weekend. The

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Weekend Rain and Wind Storm Approaching

Weekend Rain and Wind Storm Approaching

🕔15:25, 6.May 2022

Discussion: The cause for this weekend’s rain and wind storm is an upper low drifting across the E US between now and early next week. During this time, a few areas of concentrated low pressure will organize at the surface

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Rainy, Stormy, and Gloomy

Rainy, Stormy, and Gloomy

🕔12:22, 5.May 2022

Discussion: A slow moving upper-level low will drift across the Mid-Atlantic US from W to E this weekend (arrives Friday departs Sunday). An associated weak surface low will flow beneath, bringing rain and wind to New Jersey for at least

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We’re getting there.

We’re getting there.

🕔14:24, 2.May 2022

Discussion: A few boomers came through early this morning. A frontal boundary is currently holding SNJ/SWNJ in the 70s while the rest of NJ holds in the 50s/60s. A rather mundane week of weather. Still slightly cooler than average with

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Dry, Sunny, and Pleasant

Dry, Sunny, and Pleasant

🕔14:36, 28.Apr 2022

Discussion: The term above-average temperatures hasn’t been seen in a while. Thanks to a late-March/early-April Sudden Stratospheric Warming Event (SSWE), we’re still feeling the downstream tropospheric propagation in the form of a sustainable below-average temperature pattern. This overall cold spill

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