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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Severe Storms Possible Tomorrow Morning

Severe Storms Possible Tomorrow Morning

🕔14:37, 13.Jun 2022

Discussion: As soon as you say the word Derecho, everyone loses their mind, especially since the June 2012 Derecho hit the N VA/DC/SNJ area so hard. Let’s get the hype anchored to some facts. In order for a system to

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Stormy Start to a Humid Week

Stormy Start to a Humid Week

🕔23:54, 12.Jun 2022

Discussion: The upper jet has formed a ring of fire pattern across the US. This should hold until about Tuesday. This means that a central US ridge will form with the upper jet aligned from the W/NW over NJ. This

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Great Start. Mixed Finish

Great Start. Mixed Finish

🕔13:48, 9.Jun 2022

Discussion: Temperatures and dew points are currently butt-cheeking apart which is evidence that the front is through. We’re now under stable W/NW flow coming from a cooler and drier air mass over the lakes. Tonight should feel pretty amazing and

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A Stormy Night for Some

A Stormy Night for Some

🕔22:10, 8.Jun 2022

Discussion: Most model guidance has the surface low tracking from Ohio/W PA now through North-Central PA overnight/by morning, and into NY State/SE Canada by tomorrow afternoon. Given the proximity of the low’s track and track speed, NJ will spend a

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Rain and Storms Approaching for Tonight

Rain and Storms Approaching for Tonight

🕔11:50, 7.Jun 2022

Discussion: The high pressure, that brought us the beautiful conditions these past few days, is out in the Atlantic Ocean. The SW side of the high’s anti-cyclonic flow is now kicking winds into NJ from the S. You might have

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Back to Reality

Back to Reality

🕔22:06, 5.Jun 2022

Discussion: Another gorgeous late-spring overnight is expected tonight (Sunday night). Temps should make their way down to the 50-60 range by about 5am, maybe lower for elevations and interior Pine Barrens. A weak area of high pressure remains overhead tonight

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Gorgeous Weekend after Today’s Storms

Gorgeous Weekend after Today’s Storms

🕔14:17, 2.Jun 2022

Discussion: The weekend looks spectacular for outdoor interests. But first we need to get through tonight’s thunderstorms. A low is expected to form in the extreme W MD/WV area soon. This low should then track over Delmarva and into the

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Natural Air Conditioning Arrives Tonight

Natural Air Conditioning Arrives Tonight

🕔11:31, 31.May 2022

Discussion: Not much to update about today. It’s a hot one. But starting at around 8pm tonight, a Back Door Cold Front (BDCF) will advance into NJ from the E/NE. We can thank the anti-cyclonic nature (clockwise flow) of high

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The Heat is On!

The Heat is On!

🕔15:04, 30.May 2022

Discussion: First, an acknowledgement to those who have bravely fallen for our country. I hope everyone had a great weekend and enjoyed all that the fought-for freedom allows us to. It’s now go time for the warmer months of the

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Mixed Conditions for Memorial Day Weekend

Mixed Conditions for Memorial Day Weekend

🕔13:50, 25.May 2022

Discussion: As someone vested in outdoor BBQ interests this weekend, like many of you, I’ve been monitoring this weekend’s weather forecast like a hawk. At first (from fantasy range) there was a potential hurricane capable of bringing remnants up the

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