Tracking Saturday’s Rain
Discussion: A very progressive trough will swing through the NorthEast US this weekend. At the same time, a disturbance will eject off the top of the C US ridge and track along a boundary through the S Mid-Atlantic US on
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Posts From Jonathan Carr
Rain, possibly storms, approaching SNJ
Discussion: For this week, we’ll have mostly NW upper-level flow coming off the ridge that is currently establishing over the C US. The NW flow will be the result of the top of the ridge combining a split flow pattern
Early look at July 4th Weekend
Discussion: High pressure was overhead today (Wednesday) and will continue pushing out to sea by tomorrow night (Thursday). We’ll stay dry in this period before a hot and humid Friday into Saturday, in the warm sector leading into a frontal
Not Bad
Discussion: A cold front is pushing through this morning (Monday) which could feature showers and thunderstorms just ahead/along it. It’s already into NNJ and should clear through all of NUJ by early afternoon today (Monday) if not sooner. Once that
Warm and Summery
Discussion: The anomalous upper-low retrograde that formed a coastal disturbance (bringing us ran bands moving N to S) is moving out to sea. We’re now poised for a beautiful summery weekend with high pressure in control of NJ and the
Unsettled and Cloudy at Times
Discussion: The drier fallish-feeling air mass managed to stick around for Monday while temperatures maxed near-80 for many locations. The wind was what it was this past weekend but the highest sun angle of the year put up a nice
Spectacular Conditions
Discussion: Another stormy night/overnight is expected tonight (Thursday night) however this won’t bring the relief just yet. Tonight will just be another area of concentrated convergence between the oceanic high’s return flow and the establishing warm sector from our W.
Severe Storms Possible Tomorrow Morning
Discussion: As soon as you say the word Derecho, everyone loses their mind, especially since the June 2012 Derecho hit the N VA/DC/SNJ area so hard. Let’s get the hype anchored to some facts. In order for a system to
Stormy Start to a Humid Week
Discussion: The upper jet has formed a ring of fire pattern across the US. This should hold until about Tuesday. This means that a central US ridge will form with the upper jet aligned from the W/NW over NJ. This
Great Start. Mixed Finish
Discussion: Temperatures and dew points are currently butt-cheeking apart which is evidence that the front is through. We’re now under stable W/NW flow coming from a cooler and drier air mass over the lakes. Tonight should feel pretty amazing and
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