Discussion: The current system today should begin tapering off for SNJ after midnight tonight. It will continue to taper from SW to NE and will take longer for CNJ and then ultimately NNJ by later tomorrow. Most areas should clear
Discussion: Just a few small tweaks to a final forecast heading into the Thursday-Friday event that we’ve been tracking. Yesterday’s article covered all the principal dynamics involved and those have not changed: Primary low cuts into the Great Lakes, encounters
Discussion: We’re now close enough to suggest a forecast for Thursday-Friday. We’ve watched this superblock linger near Greenland for a while now. This block will likely be located to the S of Greenland this Thursday-Friday. A primary surface low will
Discussion: Precipitation is currently moving in from the W/NW. A snow/rain line is forming somewhere between I-80 and I-78 on the W side of NJ. This should extend over into NENJ but likely NW of I-95/NJTP. Precipitation should fall on-and-off
Discussion: Real quick, most areas should fall into the upper-20s/lower-30s tonight. This should end the very mild conditions we saw this week. I know I have been eyeing up the Dec 11-17 period for favorable snowstorm development conditions in prior
Discussion: The anomalously high (geo heights) ridge has formed and is still expected to meander around/over Greenland until at least Dec 17th. We’re going to see a milder week this week as heights actually build up the E US coast
Discussion: While forecasters continue to drool over the anomalous blocking signal expected to begin next week, let’s stay focused on what’s in front of us this weekend. A ridge will build over the Northeast US today (Friday) before handing off
Discussion: The primary low in Canada is down to 978mb. Isobars are tightening and the attached cold front drapes all the way down into the SE US. High pressure is materializing over Oklahoma and will soon drift eastward, reinforcing the
Discussion: Tomorrow (Wednesday) is going to be one of those volatile days I spoke about in this week’s outlook. The setup includes strong upper-level dynamics (a vort-phasing trough) over the Great Lakes enhancing (bombing out) a surface low just N
Discussion: I’m seeing a much more wintry-like pattern beginning around Dec 5 for New Jersey. That doesn’t mean we’re getting a snowstorm on Dec 5. It simply means the atmosphere will become favorable for snow development at that point and
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