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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Warm and Mostly Nice

Warm and Mostly Nice

🕔15:44, 18.Aug 2022

Discussion: The upper-jet looks mostly over NJ this weekend before it fizzles out and reestablishes to the N of NJ next week. Heights and flow look zonal in the upper levels which means rather uneventful conditions for the near future.

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Cooler and Unsettled

Cooler and Unsettled

🕔11:49, 15.Aug 2022

Discussion: The upper-jet has dipped S of NJ and might stay this way until about Saturday night. This will keep NJ in an area of lower geopotential heights until the jet returns northward by Sunday. We’ll have a more organized

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Spectacular Conditions!

Spectacular Conditions!

🕔13:43, 11.Aug 2022

Discussion: Today’s (Thursday) temperatures should max in the 80s, maybe some approaching 90, with a continued humid feel. Showers are possible here and there, much like a tropical environment, but the true relief starts tomorrow (Friday). There might be some

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Heat to Break by End of Week

Heat to Break by End of Week

🕔14:17, 8.Aug 2022

Discussion: Most of NJ is nearing 90 if not just over. Immediate ECNJ/SENJ coastal areas are ranging 70-80 with 80s just inland. Seeing some sea breeze front induced storm cells popping in coastal N Ocean County. Can probably expect this

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Summer Heat Persists

Summer Heat Persists

🕔14:35, 4.Aug 2022

Discussion: Except for the immediate ECNJ/SENJ coast, the rest of NJ is currently in the 90s and still has a few degrees to climb until we peak out around 3-3:30pm today (Thursday). The humidity is back, and it feels like

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More Heat

More Heat

🕔15:39, 1.Aug 2022

Discussion: A weak disturbance brough clouds and light rain through overnight and today but that’s pushing further offshore now (Monday afternoon). We’ll gradually improve tonight before SW flow resumes for the region and sends us back into a hot and

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Not Bad for Summer

Not Bad for Summer

🕔14:27, 29.Jul 2022

Discussion: The upper-jet will be nearby tonight (Friday) before retreating back to the N for the rest of the weekend and next week. Upper-level flow appears zonal until a weak ridge likely develops by Sunday night to set the stage

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Rain and Storms to Break Heat Wave

Rain and Storms to Break Heat Wave

🕔12:05, 25.Jul 2022

Discussion: Upper levels appear zonal this week as the Bermuda high remains parked. A low tracking through SE Canada, however, will drag a cold front through NJ by Tuesday morning which will bring some relief and break the heat wave

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Heat Wave Continues

Heat Wave Continues

🕔12:14, 22.Jul 2022

Discussion: W/SW upper-level flow continues to tap a very hot air mass in the C US with periodic injections of humid air mass from the Gulf of Mexico. The flow is supported by general Bermuda high circulation. This has New

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Heat Wave Begins

Heat Wave Begins

🕔14:14, 18.Jul 2022

Discussion: Upper-level dynamics suggest a prolonged flow gradually fluctuating between W/SW and SW. No pronounced ridges are modeled for the E US. The flow is almost zonal. But this flow will be tapping a very hot region in the C

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