Discussion: Before discussing New Jersey impacts, let’s get up to date on Ian’s current situation. Ian’s eye has just emerged into the SE Gulf of Mexico after passing over W Cuba this morning. Ian will now try to follow the
Discussion: The current upper level setup is something a snow lover would want to see in the winter months…a ridge over the W US and a trough over the E US. The trough should drift/swing eastward between now and Thursday
Discussion: I’m going to cover two topics today. First will be the approaching frontal system with immediate impacts to NJ this evening/tomorrow morning…and what that will set up for much of this week. Then we’ll cover Ian. Rain and thunderstorms
Discussion: Fiona is now in the trough capture process and will deliver a extratropical superstorm to the Nova Scotia/Newfoundland region of the western N Atlantic. New Jersey has always been far-removed from direct Fiona impacts outside of enhanced surf and
Discussion: Well, it’s right smack in the middle of peak hurricane season and the Atlantic Hurricane basin is active. Up until now, an otherwise quiet tropical cyclone season for the US east coast and Gulf of Mexico interests. First let’s
Discussion: The upper levels will remain zonal through Wednesday of this week. Starting Thursday, the upper levels become interesting as an approaching trough will likely capture Fiona and deliver a Sandy-like situation somewhere between Scandinavia and Nova Scotia. New Jersey
Discussion: We’ll be between a split upper-jet pattern this weekend. Zonal flow with average geopotential heights. Nothing really worth noting in the upper levels. At the lower levels, we have high pressure crossing over New England from Canada to the
Discussion: The gloomy and muggy theme should continue into Tuesday thanks to a warm sector giving way to a cold front. Monday into Tuesday have a good chance for rain and storms given the upper level dynamics. Starting Tuesday night,
Discussion: We’re stuck at the N top of a steep east coast ridge Friday and Saturday before giving way to a phasing trough in Canada with lower heights for Sunday night into Wednesday. Higher heights and NW upper-level flow return
Discussion: I’m not seeing any upper-level features that stand out either this week or this coming weekend. Most New Jersey weather will be driven by nearby highs and lows and their respective positioning/flow. In the immediate time frame (Monday night
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