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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Colder Week Expected

Colder Week Expected

🕔12:38, 17.Oct 2022

Discussion: We’re still kind of dealing with the low that occluded off the jet/front from last week. This low is currently stacking with an upper low over/just N of the Great Lakes. It’s going to meander around in this area

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Another Mostly Nice Weekend

Another Mostly Nice Weekend

🕔15:14, 14.Oct 2022

Discussion: Yesterday’s frontal precipitation and storms came through ahead of the overnight cold front which is now out to sea. A few surprise downpours/storms for ECNJ/SENJ earlier in the day from some warm sector isolated cells. But the front itself

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Chowderfest is this Saturday!

Chowderfest is this Saturday!

🕔17:00, 12.Oct 2022

Long Beach Island’s Chowderfest is this Saturday for its rescheduled date of (October 15) from 10am to 7pm. Chowderfest 2022 is free to attend with Chowder for purchase. This family fun festival will feature live music, Chowder trail award ceremonies,

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Thursday Night Stormfront

Thursday Night Stormfront

🕔12:11, 12.Oct 2022

Discussion: My focus for the last few days has been on the developing Canadian ridge block that should flex, from Newfoundland to the Davis Strait area, between Thursday and Friday. This now seems a little more pronounced on the guidance

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Mostly Nice

Mostly Nice

🕔09:25, 11.Oct 2022

Discussion: The upper-levels appear to support a colder pattern for the foreseeable near-future. The upper jet should be positioned S of NJ around a series of troughs expected to swing through before returning to a zonal pattern next week. Geopotential

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A Gorgeous Fall Weekend Expected

A Gorgeous Fall Weekend Expected

🕔15:51, 7.Oct 2022

Discussion: A mostly dry cold front (showers possible) will push through overnight tonight (Friday into Saturday) and reset our feel back to October/fall. The weekend looks bone dry with chilly daytime temperatures and colder overnight temperatures all with very low

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Coastal Storm Departs

Coastal Storm Departs

🕔15:09, 5.Oct 2022

Discussion: The upper low that got caught beneath the ridge for the past few days is finally starting to pull away. This will place the western side of the cyclonic steering flow from the upper low over the surface low

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Coastal Storm Intensifying for New Jersey

Coastal Storm Intensifying for New Jersey

🕔15:19, 3.Oct 2022

Discussion: I’m seeing some intense coastal flooding images coming in from locations like LBI, Brigantine, etc. It’s not good considering high tide is approaching and these new rain bands will have nowhere to drain. It looks like there will be

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Rough Start. Improvement in Sight.

Rough Start. Improvement in Sight.

🕔14:05, 3.Oct 2022

Discussion: Ian’s span of impact is incredible. From the Caribbean, through Cuba, through Florida, into South Carolina, interior SE US, etc. And now, it’s going to fart kick us as it heads away from the east coast. As I discussed

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Ian’s Remnants to form Coastal Storm

Ian’s Remnants to form Coastal Storm

🕔13:26, 2.Oct 2022

Discussion: The upper jet, observed at 250mb, is departing away from the NE US (to the E). The upper-level low energy associated with Ian’s remnants will now hang back and sit over the coastal Mid-Atlantic US until about Wednesday before

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